Here is my idea:
First a few assumptions:
#1 - The oddsmakers in Vegas are smart and set the lines well
#2 - The public, in general, loses
If we can all agree on those two, here is my plan:
In basketball, I compare the opening lines to what they currently read. If any line moves at least 2 or more points, I bet the team whose line improved 2+ points.
Using that theory, I'm getting more points than the "smart" oddsmakers felt the line should be set at, and going against the "losing" public who I assume bet the other team hard enough to move the spread.
I'm sure I'm missing something here. I went 2-0 with this theory yesterday, winning with UTEP and Virginia.
What are your guys thoughts? I'm sure it's flawed somewhere.
First a few assumptions:
#1 - The oddsmakers in Vegas are smart and set the lines well
#2 - The public, in general, loses
If we can all agree on those two, here is my plan:
In basketball, I compare the opening lines to what they currently read. If any line moves at least 2 or more points, I bet the team whose line improved 2+ points.
Using that theory, I'm getting more points than the "smart" oddsmakers felt the line should be set at, and going against the "losing" public who I assume bet the other team hard enough to move the spread.
I'm sure I'm missing something here. I went 2-0 with this theory yesterday, winning with UTEP and Virginia.
What are your guys thoughts? I'm sure it's flawed somewhere.