I have a question if anyone has free time

[Salmon Steak]

Let me start by saying my backround is in biology not statistics. With that being said, I am using a poisson equation. My question is how do you calculate value as it relates to the line? I am getting numbers like .4557 and .6533. If I am correct these would be predicted 45.57% and 65.33% win rates respectively. Maybe I terming these values incorrectly . If so I am applying the values incorrectly also. Anyway...

So let's say you have:

Team A 45% (+130) v Team B 65% (-145)

Team C 50% (+120) v Team D 55% (-110)

So how do you calculate value of a side in relation to the line presented by the books? If this is unclear or incorrect I can try again but my math terminology might not be up to par with some of yours. Thanks

[djiddish98]

You can convert the line into a percentage.

> + 100 = 100/(100+odds)

< + 100 = odds / (100 + odds)

or you can just calculate your edge by taking your prob and multiplying by the decimal conversion of the odds you're allowed to be on (and then subtract 1).

[Salmon Steak]

Got it thank you very much. Best of luck to you.