problem with chase systems

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  • gilly6864
    SBR High Roller
    • 09-25-10
    • 137

    #1
    problem with chase systems
    here is a breakdown of the problem with chase systems (SBP).. there are 4 outcomes of a 3 game chase. WWW, WWL, WLL, LLL each has a 25% chance of winning. with a three chase system 3 out of 4 will win you money. so a three chase system has 75% chance of winning to a 25% loss.

    lets say you play 100 games: that would produce 75 wins and 25 losses. lets say your a 100 dollar player (.01% of bankroll): that produces 7,500 in wins. the problem is with a chase is that at 25% you are losing over 5% of your bankroll if not much more to win your money back. so lets say you spend around 330 to cover your chase amount (you lose three games in a row). 330(25) will result in 8,250 in losses... the result is -750...stay away from chase systems..
  • That Foreign Guy
    SBR Sharp
    • 07-18-10
    • 432

    #2
    Why is it people ever think a staking system could ever make a -EV bet a +EV one?
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    • rise
      SBR Sharp
      • 03-01-09
      • 372

      #3
      never chase
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