What % of NFL games with a line of "pick" turn out to be within 7 points either way?

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  • TheGambler
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-16-06
    • 972

    #1
    What % of NFL games with a line of "pick" turn out to be within 7 points either way?
    Where could i find this type of information? For example, if a line for a game is "pick", what % of these games land within 7 points of each other?
  • durito
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-03-06
    • 13173

    #2
    ~50%
    Comment
    • Sean81
      SBR Sharp
      • 12-31-09
      • 281

      #3
      I believe the historical standard deviation of nfl games is 13 points, so 50% sounds about right.
      Comment
      • Toples
        SBR Sharp
        • 12-18-07
        • 275

        #4
        not many games are exactly pick
        i have numbers like 91 in last 18 seasons (not including preseason)
        59 of those ended within 7 points (including 7)
        56 of those ended within 7 points (NOT including 7)
        Comment
        • TheGambler
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 07-16-06
          • 972

          #5
          thanks for the data guys.
          Comment
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