I have heard that many pros do this....what do you think?
if something is scalp able at pinny it a play?
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Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#1if something is scalp able at pinny it a play?Tags: None -
Bill Dozerwww.twitter.com/BillDozer
- 07-12-05
- 10894
#2It depends what time of day and what sport. Pinny's baseball opening moves have been strong this year I'm told. The moves were not really coming through last NCAAF. Anything close to game time or half time is strong.Comment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#3yea there 2nd halfs nbas were really iffy...man i wish i got in2 sportsbetting 5 years ago im only 18 but it was supposably a lot easier and the pinny lean was gold i hear
thanks for the response Bill it means a lotComment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#4bumpComment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#5if you guys know who OSU Cowboys is...he is someone who if he finds something scalpable at pinny he will bet it somewhere elseComment -
goblue12SBR MVP
- 02-08-09
- 1316
#6If you believe that Pinnacle is an efficient market, then yes, you can bet the soft side of the arbitrage opportunities between them and come out ahead.Comment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#7the question is do you?Comment -
goblue12SBR MVP
- 02-08-09
- 1316
#8I would be broke at the moment if that wasn't true.Comment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#9thanks..im guna be testing resultsComment -
wrongturnSBR MVP
- 06-06-06
- 2228
#10I think yes, but like poker, expect the worst in short term, and use kelly betting so you don't go bust.Comment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#11thanksComment -
Cookie MonsterSBR MVP
- 12-05-08
- 2251
#12There are often Matchbook offers at the same price as pinny is taking. Say, the game is at pinny +120/-130, at matchbook the line is +120/-121. Getting matched an offer at -120 means taking the same price as pinny, about 5 cents better than the pinny no vig line. On the other hand many say that matchbook prices are even more efficient than pinny. So, is it a +EV play?Comment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#13thats what i want to knowComment -
magynuckSBR Wise Guy
- 09-17-09
- 891
#14usuallyComment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#15lol...how do you know if it is or is notComment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#16bumpComment -
PRCSBR Wise Guy
- 10-22-09
- 576
#17absolutelyComment -
magynuckSBR Wise Guy
- 09-17-09
- 891
#18bet limit/sport/overall market consensus/experienceComment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#192-9 are the results.
minimum 3 cents is the play.
even had plays at -190 , played -165....at pinny -374 i played -340
all these lost
so its really like 2-16Comment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#20what i mean by minimum 3 cents...is the difference has to be a minimum 3 cent scalp between pinny and a square book with lower limits( bodog, SIA) . and the 3 cent minimums are usually MLB
in the other markets PInny has $7000 limit bodog $500 the lines can differ tons...but it has not been profitable yet.'
Im not saying it doesnt work it has just has not been profitable. If i say bodog is the sharper book the results are around 16(hit some +150-300) dogs-2
lol ..amazing well lets c if pinny can come thru for me in the long run.
I know it has for othersComment -
cashfarmSBR Rookie
- 08-15-10
- 7
#21You have to follow the market, and it will work. Get the opening line, some other line during the day, half an hour before the game and from 5 mins to the start. Remember that the final 5 mins movement will always give you good indication of what the game can be. But i say, if you use another book, and this happen to me, after 3-4 bet at the max you can you get the cut. I was able to bet till 5k and after the 3rd straight win i get cut to 300$ and then to 100$. At the same moment if you watch the line again you will not see more the same difference because the book that you've hitted will make adjustment on his lines. best of luckComment -
Winner_13SBR MVP
- 01-04-10
- 1744
#22thanks cashfam I am doing this.
You were probably doing it on the bigger markets I guess.
All I know for MMA/Boxing I beat CRIS/Greek/ by atleast 35 cents.
It hasnt worked yet though im waiting for it to turn aroundComment -
PokerjoeSBR Wise Guy
- 04-17-09
- 704
#23You need to very quickly stop thinking in terms of "cents."
"at pinny -374 i played -340" doesn't mean what you think it means. Well, if you think it means what I think you think it means.
Also, you need to stop thinking of the midpoint of Pinny's lines as being the no-vig line.Comment -
sharpcatRestricted User
- 12-19-09
- 4516
#24You should understand that .03 cents on a -110 line is not equivalent to .03 cents on a -190 line.
In your example where you bet -165 and the line was -190 at pinnacle, assume the line was -190/+160 making the no-vig price -170 at pinnacle.
-165= 62.26% win probability
-170= 62.96% win probability
In this scenario you only have roughly a 1% edge. In a small market with high juice I would not consider a 1% edge based off of the no-vig line to be a playable wager. As Pokerjoe suggested because of the high juice the true no-vig price does not have to be set perfectly for books to profit.Comment -
roasthawgSBR MVP
- 11-09-07
- 2990
#25This strategy is best used with Pinny's live in game odds in my experience.Comment
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