At Bats per game

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  • rfr3sh
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-07-09
    • 10229

    #1
    At Bats per game
    Whats the best way to gauge how many at bats a player will have per game, sorry if this is an obvious question I am new to baseball betting.

    I am thinking a higher game total would possibly correlate to more at bats?
  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #2
    I'd also look at position in the lineup. The #1 batter will have about 8/9ths more PAs than the #9.
    Comment
    • rfr3sh
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-07-09
      • 10229

      #3
      so then 2nd batter would have 7/9ths more PA then # 9 etc?
      but am I right about the total correlating to more at bats, and then specifically after that there lineup position for a more accurate number
      Comment
      • Justin7
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-31-06
        • 8577

        #4
        Yes, and yes.

        Here's an idea for a regression to run:
        Use pythag to determine expected runs for each team, based on total and ML.

        Run a regression with expected runs versus team PAs. I think it will work reasonably well.
        Comment
        • rfr3sh
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-07-09
          • 10229

          #5
          Originally posted by Justin7
          Yes, and yes. Here's an idea for a regression to run: Use pythag to determine expected runs for each team, based on total and ML. Run a regression with expected runs versus team PAs. I think it will work reasonably well.
          thanks Justin
          Comment
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