1. #1
    Waterstpub87
    Life-Style Arbitrage
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    Join Date: 09-10-09
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    NFL Resources

    With the season approaching, here are some resources I use for research:

    Football outsiders: http://www.footballoutsiders.com/: Good for summaries of performance, other statistics. Measures player value based on defense adjusted extra yards. Beware with the DVOA numbers year to year, because they are not really correlated with each other

    http://www.ourlads.com/nfldepthcharts/: Good for NFL depth charts, more accurate than ESPN, whos lineups are not updated very often.

    https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stats/: Good for team statistics, I use them for pace of play. Also has a good section for NCAA football statistics.

    https://www.profootballfocus.com/: If you are looking at individual player performance, and to use past statistics as predictors, this is by far the most accurate in my experience. Ratings are relatively stable year to year, and are predictive of results (for example: High Rated QBs have a 60% correlation to higher completion %). I have tested profootball focus ratings, madden football ratings, and the DVOA from Football outsiders. DVOA was relative predictive in-sample, but year to year ratings for players have no correlation. Madden ratings had almost no correlation at all to actual performance data. They charge 30$ per year, but are well worth it in my opinion to building predictive models.
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  2. #2
    gdon44
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    Thanks for this. I think I'll be using that team rankings page a lot this year.

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  4. #4
    Jnelson1182
    MBF
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    Anyone ever use docssports.com or nflpickwatch.com or oddsshark.com those are just a few I use that i notice not listed.

  5. #5
    Clund0026
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    A group of friends from Stanford university created Team Rankings

    I personally love team rankings myself. They don’t really get into the mechanics and personal players of the teams, they more specialize in the mathmatics, probabilities and statistics of the upcoming game(s) and there pretty good at what they do. To think, a Group of friends/guys from Stanford University wanted to incorporate math and probabilities into outcome, they’re pretty sharp.

  6. #6
    gojetsgomoxies
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    i love teamrankings.com too........

    i would also nominate statfox for really quick easy analysis in a very nice format. and nice click-thru data.

    howell and massey i use for different info related to power ratings. but i don't use the actual power rating figure itself.

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