totals prediction tool for NBA/NCAAB?

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  • 70kgman
    SBR MVP
    • 01-31-10
    • 4354

    #1
    totals prediction tool for NBA/NCAAB?
    Anyone know if there is anything along the same lines of Saragin ratings or something like that for totals? Or any other way to predict an accurate total based on season averages would suffice. Basically I would like to use it as a filter for a system I came up with to see how many points the total has been adjusted (based on recent play) from the season medial, if any.
  • Justin7
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-31-06
    • 8577

    #2
    There are ways, but they are not often shared. I think you're unlikely to find a filter that will blindly find profitable totals.

    If you don't know what a "pace rating" for a team is, find out. You also need to find out how player injuries affect totals.
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    • 70kgman
      SBR MVP
      • 01-31-10
      • 4354

      #3
      I am not trying to use this to find profitable totals, more the opposite. I already have a strong O/U system in place, this would just be used as an additional filter to weed out certain plays.
      Comment
      • maxdalury
        Restricted User
        • 05-28-09
        • 67

        #4
        as justin said you need to look up pace ratings if you already havent.
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        • dwaechte
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-27-07
          • 5481

          #5
          Pomeroy makes actual score predictions adjusted for pace. Seems to be what you're looking for.
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          • Peregrine Stoop
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-23-09
            • 869

            #6
            is there a kenpom like site for NBA?
            Comment
            • THE PROFIT
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-27-09
              • 17701

              #7
              you will need to come up with your own formula based on pomeroy pace/tempo
              Comment
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