Future Line Prediction

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  • CondorHero
    SBR Rookie
    • 03-28-08
    • 17

    #1
    Future Line Prediction
    Anyone know of a site that has good estimates about the lines for games that are a week or more away?

    If not, has anyone attempted to do this for their own purposes? How successful were you in terms of the work effort?

    I'm thinking there are two approaches if you wanted to do this yourself.
    1) Using past odds to generate a power ranking for each team.
    2) Using statistics such as goals, points, or runs to generate a power ranking.

    In both cases, the power ranking would be used to predict the future odds between the two teams after taking into account home or road game and other factors such as back to back games. Of course, I don't expect this to be 100% accurate but I think being off by a couple % is still useful.

    This would not be used to predict winners or plays but rather just additional information for those curious as to what the odds would be for a future game.
  • IrishTim
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-23-09
    • 983

    #2
    I would bet that most of the Think Tankers make their own numbers. It depends on the sport but I've found Sagarin's ratings to be a decent indicator of what a spread might be down the road, especially for college hoops.
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