How do you go about capping games?

[runt23]

To add to the op. I look at the records (obviously) but you have to break it down more and look at home/away records and winning streaks. Like someone stated above

[Johnny 55]

I feel bad for the guy, but at the same time instead of making stuff up he should humble himself and learn. This forum is a highlighted road map of how to be successful in sports betting. If you just follow the posts of Justin7, Durito, Ganchrow, and a few others you will learn a great deal. So to lie about success and blatantly contradict yourself within the realm of the same forum is an interesting way to go about achieving the ultimate goal of making money.

[Peregrine Stoop]

I cap games mainly by calculating the pinny no-vig price

[montyh]

easy

Flip a coin and go with that

[Morrisbettor]

I feel bad for the guy, but at the same time instead of making stuff up he should humble himself and learn. This forum is a highlighted road map of how to be successful in sports betting. If you just follow the posts of Justin7, Durito, Ganchrow, and a few others you will learn a great deal. So to lie about success and blatantly contradict yourself within the realm of the same forum is an interesting way to go about achieving the ultimate goal of making money.

Well said.

[daneault23]

yeah it is tough to knock a system that is 18-6 on the year and has hit 63% since 2004 but I guess anything is possible. By the way it is under on a total of 160 or higher. Reading comprehension skills are solid I see.

Just tried to provide some insight to the OP.

Best of luck to you Johnny. God Bless you.

The 18-6 and 63% record since 2004, is that the "totals under 120 bet the over" one?

[daneault23]

hmm

[SparJMU]

i look at linemovement

Sidetracked, I have tried a few different strategies with line movement in the past, but I couldn't come up with a solid conclusion. Care to share your strategy?

[frankbettor]

I have outsourced 100% of the handicapping for me. I literally get a system play, plug it in, go to bed, check my balance in the morning. I don't even read the sports page anymore for stats. I treat this as a business, no emotion, strictly logic. Takes some of the fun out of it, but my motivation is profit not excitement.

[Morrisbettor]

How is that working out for you? Care to share what systems or touts you use?

[SparJMU]

I have outsourced 100% of the handicapping for me. I literally get a system play, plug it in, go to bed, check my balance in the morning. I don't even read the sports page anymore for stats. I treat this as a business, no emotion, strictly logic. Takes some of the fun out of it, but my motivation is profit not excitement.

So you are purchasing your plays from a service? Which one?

[Morrisbettor]

So you are purchasing your plays from a service? Which one?

Is there an echo in here?

[thechaoz]

lol

[robertg]

yeah you can become a good capper by hard work- but i hope you dont mind waiting 25-30 yrs to do it. I've said it once, and i'll say it again. It is not what you know, but who you know!!!

when i was 19, I had it all figured out too.

[Sawyer]

I have outsourced 100% of the handicapping for me. I literally get a system play, plug it in, go to bed, check my balance in the morning. I don't even read the sports page anymore for stats. I treat this as a business, no emotion, strictly logic. Takes some of the fun out of it, but my motivation is profit not excitement.

This is the BEST way to go. You should not spend "lots of hours" in front of your computer, watching/capping games.

Leave emotionless all the time! You should have a mechanical system and you should be just like a robot.

Guessing/subjective comments/handicapping games is BS. Your every pick should be based on a system/strong angle.

I congratulate you for your will, discipline..

[bozeman]

The hardest times you have figuring out that system, and then yeah ... enjoy

[DukeJohn]

Foregoing the obvious on following a service the problem is you are only as strong as that service. If the service goes out of business or they change cappers or whatever, you get the idea, then you will soon be struggling to maintain any form of business model. When I first started, I followed a service and that aspect bothered me, that I was depending on someone else. Not that it mattered anyway because all of a sudden the service did horrible and I lost my bankroll. lol... lesson learned. I personally do not believe there is a service that really is successful, but that is me. It doesn't mean you can not learn from them. Read the forums and you will also find a lot of insight to build your own model to be successful. Oh, and don't worry if you are not a math genius or anything. All types are successful in this business, however many, many more lose their bankrolls.

As for how I cap games, I have quantified my data to make a successful algorithm or I have added values to my data and made a step by step process to tell me which bets to make.

[BigdaddyQH]

Foregoing the obvious on following a service the problem is you are only as strong as that service. If the service goes out of business or they change cappers or whatever, you get the idea, then you will soon be struggling to maintain any form of business model. When I first started, I followed a service and that aspect bothered me, that I was depending on someone else. Not that it mattered anyway because all of a sudden the service did horrible and I lost my bankroll. lol... lesson learned. I personally do not believe there is a service that really is successful, but that is me. It doesn't mean you can not learn from them. Read the forums and you will also find a lot of insight to build your own model to be successful. Oh, and don't worry if you are not a math genius or anything. All types are successful in this business, however many, many more lose their bankrolls.

As for how I cap games, I have quantified my data to make a successful algorithm or I have added values to my data and made a step by step process to tell me which bets to make.

Not to mention the fact that you have to PAY for that service, making it that much more difficult to show a profit. Only the very weak would pay for something they can get for free in here. And for the couple of you that do pay for services, please do not bother to try and B.S. everyone in here about how much money you make, because we all know the truth. If you can not do it yourselves, you do not belong in here. The bottom line about services is this. If they were any good at all, why waste their time and money putting up a site and advertising? Why not just wager the games themselves? The answer is that the they can not afford to do so.

Let us use an example of how foolish paying for information can be. Let us assume that a $100.00 per game bettor uses a service and pays $500.00 for the entire year of service. The service does good, hitting on 46 out of 80 picks, a 57.5% total, which is good in anyone's figuring. So the guy ends up winning $860.00, minus the $500.00 he pays for the service. That service has cost him over half of his winnings in a very good year. In many cases, services have to hit over 55% for the customer just to break even. It all depends on the cost of the service, and how much you play. The only way to play using services is to play huge money, and then you run the risk of a service losing overall, which happens more times than not.

[Thremp]

>$100 is "huge money". Christ.

[jessetopolski]

flip a penny. cuz at the end of football season you probably wont have a quarter asking such a question

[DeluxeLiner]

flip a penny. cuz at the end of football season you probably wont have a quarter asking such a question

pretty funny...i'll have to say this to my friends.

[frankbettor]

I use these betting systems although it is one of the tools I use. I also arbitrage bet with locals, among other things. Easiest game in town. That eBook does actually have some systems that make sense mathematically, some won't, but some really work.