Fantastic System - Now What?

[MGRRnow]

I have come up with a MLB wagering system that is extremely promising. I've had some extra time on my hands (Job Ended) and since I found out AI can write code, I was finally able to test my theories and get them dialed in. My latest version is crushing it. It always for varying Bankroll size, each games moneyline, kelley fraction, and max bet size and runs it against this season with the teams I chose. My formula only bets certain scenarios, so definately not every game or even every one of my five teams every day, only when the scenario is correct. it does not bet on negative value games (i think 11 this time). Anyway, here are two examples using MLB 2025 with moneylines to date.

WAGER	.250 KELLEY
BANKROLL	$2,000.00
MAX BET	$500.00
TOTAL WAGERS	133
WINS	90
LOSSES	43
WIN %	67.60%
ROI	20.11
END BANK	9900.17
NET	7700.17

WAGER	0.5 KELLEY
BANKROLL	$2,000.00
MAX BET	$750.00
TOTAL WAGERS	122	(less neg. val)
WINS	90
LOSSES	43
WIN %	74.00%
ROI	22.11
END BANK	16,549.00
NET	14,549.00

In the first scenario with 1/4 Kelley there was still some wagers that were less than 500. In the second scenario, nearly all bets were $750 after May 7th. I just added the max bet feature because the bets were totally unrealistic. To me anyway.

Here's the problem. My job ended and there isn't another one lined up yet. Im nearly completely broke. Is therer anyone or anywhere I can go to get something happening with this. If I had the money I honestly wouldn't be here or tell anyone. I don't want to let the second half of the season go by sitting in my rocking chair dreaming of what could have been. any idea's? Advice? I chose this forum because I used the site in my research. I haven't posted thyis anywhere else and wont.

MGRRnow

[Optional]

What do you mean by get something happening with this? Like a tout service?

If it really is a winning system going forward then you can start with any size bankroll using your bet size management and get it happening pretty fast for yourself if those numbers prove predictive!


Why don't you start a thread and post your picks and test yourself in real time to get started?

If you do well enough people will come to you. I doubt anyone will care much about the latest person with an unproven system to want to get it happening for you.

[MGRRnow]

I appreciate your response. I really don't know what I am asking. I just know this system works and I am trying to figure out a way to make something happen. Its running on a daily basis just not with real money but its fully documented and proveable. I thought that might be worth something. I just have no idea what to do now.

[jamesrav]

you'll need a minimum of 100 bets to determine if it can beat the crowd. That's just the hard truth about probability. If you're generating 3 picks a day out of the 10-15 games, it will take a month. There's another MLB system thread, the fellow is doing very well after about 65 picks. Will it hold up for the next 35 picks? Beating MLB, NFL, and NBA is virtually impossible, so keep that in mind. If you have good analytical skills you'd do better trying to get some gigs on Upwork or other job boards.

[EnTaroTuna]

Any updates? How has it performed the last couple of weeks? I use AI for coding as well and have gone through many iterations of models. Backtesting a strategy and seeing it perform well is one thing, but nothing beats making real bets and tracking the performance (accurately). I track all of my bets using Action Network app.

Like Optional said, it doesn't matter what bankroll you start at if you can get that kind of ROI. If you can really get 20% ROI, you'll double your bankroll every 4-5 days. If you start with $100, after 2 weeks you'll have $1K, after 26 days you'll have $10K. What's harder is actually getting volume down at the odds you want before the line moves. Then you'll get limited at many of the sportsbooks for performing well so you'll have to settle for worse odds.

[Optional]

I guess it either failed to perform really fast, or he is off counting his money in private with the realization he doesn't really want to share the method anymore

[jamesrav]

has anyone ever posted an unbroken list of "'I've got a system" bets from a sports book or exchange covering a considerable period of time (or a considerable # of bets, say 200) for a single sport that showed a higher balance at the end than the start? Whether $5 bets or $500 really doesn't matter. I've been reading the algobetting thread on reddit for quite some time, never seen such a post. On reddit its mostly people (polite math/computer geeks) asking for advice, not claming success. There is no rule against bragging if its long term (single day doesnt count). Successful line shopping or eeking out a tiny ROI using value bets from Oddsjam is a different story, I'm talking about a successful model. Maybe people are too modest.