I created a model for MLB that is threatening to end the industry.

**jamesrav** · 07-04-25, 01:39 PM

i had you at 6/25 being up 6.47 units (38 bets). From 6/26 to 7/3 I show 21 bets with 13 wins totalling 21.87
total of 59 bets, +7.34 12.44% up,. quite impressive. $100 bets being up $730

**HoleWrecker** · 07-04-25, 07:55 PM

2-0 today +another 2 units

Thats 6 straight winning days

**HoleWrecker** · 07-05-25, 09:54 AM

7-5-2025

Athletics team total under 4.5 -190

**jamesrav** · 07-05-25, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by HoleWrecker

2-0 today +another 2 units

Thats 6 straight winning days

-180 and -140 would be +1.26 profit for a 1 unit bet. Definitely doing well, your range is pretty safe from serious downturns, so going 0-5 for a stretch is very unlikely.

**HoleWrecker** · 07-05-25, 01:12 PM

All plays are to win 1 unit. If a play at -140 loses its -1.40 units. Want to go through the whole table and see what you get for all posts combined?

**HoleWrecker** · 07-05-25, 02:07 PM

7-5-2025

Athletics team total under 4.5 -190

Astros/Dodgers F5 under 4.5 -125

**jamesrav** · 07-05-25, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by HoleWrecker

All plays are to win 1 unit. If a play at -140 loses its -1.40 units. Want to go through the whole table and see what you get for all posts combined?

up to 6/25 that betting strategy would put you up +7.7 instead of +6.47. I'll update the others later

**HoleWrecker** · 07-05-25, 07:07 PM

7-5-2025

Giants F5 -200

Athletics team total under 4.5 -190

Astros/Dodgers F5 under 4.5 -125

**HoleWrecker** · 07-05-25, 11:47 PM

2-1 +0.75 units today

Thats 7 straight winning days and counting

**HoleWrecker** · 2025-07-06T09:19:15+00:00

7-6-2025

Marlins/Brewrs F5 under 4.5 -130

Lets make it 8 straight winning days.

**HoleWrecker** · 2025-07-06T16:44:59+00:00

7-6-2025

Rockies/White Sox over 11 -110

Marlins/Brewrs F5 under 4.5 -130

**HoleWrecker** · 2025-07-06T18:57:42+00:00

Originally posted by HoleWrecker

7-6-2025

Marlins/Brewrs F5 under 4.5 -130

Lets make it 8 straight winning days.

Just another easy winner.

**Foosball Champ** · 2025-07-06T22:11:34+00:00

losing day

**HoleWrecker** · 2025-07-07T02:56:35+00:00

1-1 -0.10 units and this loser comes out of the bushes to point it out. Are you just trying to get under my skin, are you just naturally a POS, or what is wrong with you?

**HoleWrecker** · 2025-07-07T02:57:58+00:00

Cant stand punks like this. Go away

**jamesrav** · 2025-07-07T03:15:00+00:00

28 picks since 6/26: 18 wins (+18) 8 losses (-13.75) = +4.25
overall 7.7 + 4.25 = +11.25 on 66 picks = 17%

is this old fashioned data analysis or machine learning? how many games do you base the model on?

**HoleWrecker** · 2025-07-07T03:22:34+00:00

Dude what kind of math ananlysis is this? Whats the total for the WHOLE THREAD

Since 6-26???? why 6-26 i been posting for weeks

**HoleWrecker** · 2025-07-07T03:23:25+00:00

overall 7.7 + 4.25

wtf is 7.7

**HoleWrecker** · 2025-07-07T03:24:20+00:00

That colorado game today had no business staying under 11. Im fucking fuming right now.

4 scoreless innings at Coors field and they collectively left 10 on base, GTFO

**jamesrav** · 2025-07-07T04:29:24+00:00

Originally posted by HoleWrecker

Dude what kind of math ananlysis is this? Whats the total for the WHOLE THREAD

Since 6-26???? why 6-26 i been posting for weeks

pretty simple english: since (ie 'after') your table you've had 26 (not 28) picks and went +4.25.
The table was +7.7 units. So a total + of 11.95 (not 11.25). Doing good, no bad days. But probability says
they will eventually happen, good model or otherwise. Black came up 26 times in a row at Monte Carlo, nothing wrong with the wheel.

**Optional** · 2025-07-07T05:05:13+00:00

This thread does not fit the Handicapper Think Tank. It's for discussion of methods not for posting picks.

Would you prefer it to be moved to the Baseball forum or Players Talk?