For the last few days I been playing in game betting, and notice that there is a HUGE discounts to in game points vs point spread. Let me put it another way.
Bulls and Houston game, the spread is 6 points Rocket fav. Bulls run up a 5-0 lead early. But he lines (Bulls +6 for the whole game) remain -108 for the bulls, and +100 for the rockets. I am thinking it should be more like Bulls -200 at this point because your value 5 points off the point spread already, because of a 5-0 lead. But ingame betting those 5 points value is much less than pregame spread value.
So what I am asking is is there a difference between ingame points and pregame spread points in valuation. I know at the end of the game they are completely the same, but at the start of the game do you discount scores someway?
I see it in NFL and NCAAF too. Kick off touchdowns are worthless than the 7 points ingame spreads.
Bulls and Houston game, the spread is 6 points Rocket fav. Bulls run up a 5-0 lead early. But he lines (Bulls +6 for the whole game) remain -108 for the bulls, and +100 for the rockets. I am thinking it should be more like Bulls -200 at this point because your value 5 points off the point spread already, because of a 5-0 lead. But ingame betting those 5 points value is much less than pregame spread value.
So what I am asking is is there a difference between ingame points and pregame spread points in valuation. I know at the end of the game they are completely the same, but at the start of the game do you discount scores someway?
I see it in NFL and NCAAF too. Kick off touchdowns are worthless than the 7 points ingame spreads.