I have read numerous times over the years that college basketball is easy to beat if you can specialize in capping a lesser known conference as compared to say the Big East. For arguements sake let's use the Ohio Valley.
The arguement is the Oddsmaker has to set the lines for so many college bball games, that the lesser known conferences fly under the radar and thereofore more mistakes in those lines my occur, thus allowing an expert who knows that conference inside and out to really clean up.
My counter arguement is this: If a majority of books clone their lines from Cris or Pinnacle, what makes one think they have an edge in those conferences? I think both shops have the resources now in place to set a proper line on everything they put on the betting menu. They have too much invested not too. If Pinnacle can but up a line on a Bulgarian summer basketball game, what makes you think their line on Jacksonville St vs Eastern Illinois is off? And I say this to prove a point.
IMO, looking at the numbers set so far early this season, that involved lesser known schools, the lines seemed pretty sharp.
Am I correct in saying the initial logic is a thing of the past?
The arguement is the Oddsmaker has to set the lines for so many college bball games, that the lesser known conferences fly under the radar and thereofore more mistakes in those lines my occur, thus allowing an expert who knows that conference inside and out to really clean up.
My counter arguement is this: If a majority of books clone their lines from Cris or Pinnacle, what makes one think they have an edge in those conferences? I think both shops have the resources now in place to set a proper line on everything they put on the betting menu. They have too much invested not too. If Pinnacle can but up a line on a Bulgarian summer basketball game, what makes you think their line on Jacksonville St vs Eastern Illinois is off? And I say this to prove a point.
IMO, looking at the numbers set so far early this season, that involved lesser known schools, the lines seemed pretty sharp.
Am I correct in saying the initial logic is a thing of the past?