3 way line conversion

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  • shackfu99
    SBR Hustler
    • 02-26-12
    • 86

    #1
    3 way line conversion
    Pinny gives out a 3 way line with the draw. I can get the 3 way no vig ( thanks The Game). The same match form 5D is a 2 way draws push. My question is: Is there a formula I can use to take the 3 way no vig from Pinny and convert it to a 2 way no vig? The push rate for this subset is 17%.
    What I am trying to figure out is 5D offering me a decent price on the 2 way? Since Pinny doesn't offer the 2 way I cant get a no vig from them but can I convert from their 3 way odds?
    Any help would be greatly appreciated.
  • Carl-Haakon
    SBR Rookie
    • 02-08-13
    • 35

    #2
    You can easily calculate the payout thusly:

    Payout = 1/(1/D2(A) + 1/D2(B))

    where D2(A) and D2(B) are the decimal odds of, for instance, team A or team B winning when draw=no bet. There's no easy way to compare this to three-way lines (that I can think of); a difficult way would be to synthesize your own DNB odds from the three-way lines. If you wanted to create synthetic DNB-odds for team A winning, you'd bet a certain amount x1 on team A and enough on the draw to win back the money you put into the draw and A bets; let's call this amount x2. x2 can be calculated as

    x2 = x1/(D3(draw)-1)

    where D3(draw) is the decimal three-way odds of a draw. Your synthetic DNB decimal odds for team A winning would then be given by

    D2synthetic(A) = D3(A)*x1/(x1 + x2)

    where D3(A) is the decimal three-way odds of A winning.

    You could then compare the synthetic two-way odds with the 5D-ones
    Comment
    • therealJ$
      SBR High Roller
      • 03-29-13
      • 127

      #3
      Nice avatar
      Comment
      • shackfu99
        SBR Hustler
        • 02-26-12
        • 86

        #4
        Originally posted by Carl-Haakon
        You can easily calculate the payout thusly:

        Payout = 1/(1/D2(A) + 1/D2(B))

        where D2(A) and D2(B) are the decimal odds of, for instance, team A or team B winning when draw=no bet. There's no easy way to compare this to three-way lines (that I can think of); a difficult way would be to synthesize your own DNB odds from the three-way lines. If you wanted to create synthetic DNB-odds for team A winning, you'd bet a certain amount x1 on team A and enough on the draw to win back the money you put into the draw and A bets; let's call this amount x2. x2 can be calculated as

        x2 = x1/(D3(draw)-1)

        where D3(draw) is the decimal three-way odds of a draw. Your synthetic DNB decimal odds for team A winning would then be given by

        D2synthetic(A) = D3(A)*x1/(x1 + x2)

        where D3(A) is the decimal three-way odds of A winning.

        You could then compare the synthetic two-way odds with the 5D-ones
        Thank you for the feedback. I will put it to use this week.
        Comment
        • shackfu99
          SBR Hustler
          • 02-26-12
          • 86

          #5
          Originally posted by therealJ$
          Nice avatar
          haha it was that or McCracken.
          Comment
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