You think you have bad luck? Look at these numbers...

[Rich Boy]

I play a lot of road dogs on the -1.5 runline (alternate runline) So my average play is in the +230 to +270 range

Over the last 3-4 months here are my numbers...

79-215 (a win percentage of 26.87%)
Pinny (no-juice) closer average is ~30%

I entered these numbers into a binomial distribution calculator and got this



Does this mean there is only a 13.36% chance of this happening?

If anyone has some insight or more ways to analyze this data I would appreciate it.

[Pancho sanza]

Does this mean there is only a 13.36% chance of this happening?

Yes, and guess what, thats nothing unusual at all, in fact if you gamble long enough you'll experience much more variance than that, good and bad.