Correlated Parlay

[bithko]

Hello, my local bookmaker offer lower quotes in general, but we can take some correlated props and make parlays:

Could you tell me if we have a significant advantage, for example Bills +10,5 (-220) combined with Tom Brady under 230,5 yds (-133) total odds 2,53 (+153)

Is the advantage of combined these correlated event is better than take single bets at better odds (bet365 -200 and -120)

Thank you

[deeppckts]

You can bet those blindly. If you want to answer that question, collect some data on scores and yards by the opposing QBs.

To answer the second question, how do you know what your edge is on that bet? You need to know that if you want to compare edges.

But it sounds like you don't know, and don't know how to calculate it.