Future odds movement

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 06-20-19, 02:28 PM

epani:

When referencing the Advice sites...I assume you're talking Touts. If you're talking Touts...most veteran posters here will tell u that Touts are charlatans.

As for predicting line movement, No. I don't think too many are good at doing it.

You're question is pretty vague. I will say that the NFL Regular Season Win o/u market gets a lot of attention, b/c u have 4+ months to fire. Guys love to get a good # on their ticket, in anticipation of big line movement.

**epani** · 06-21-19, 10:01 AM

To be as clear as possible with the question I have made, I am a professional trader and I see some individuals who place pre-match bets and after a while they move very much in his favor. every bet that they decide all have a big reduction .I have the picture I have analyzed , they bet to asian handicap match odds and over under .I want to know if there is any program or software to predict the future of the odds .

**HeeeHAWWWW** · 06-21-19, 01:10 PM

That's what happens when you place a value bet, generally. The weight of money will push the price in that direction.

**epani** · 06-22-19, 10:08 AM

I am aware of everything you say, I have an experience of over 5 years working full time trader , it's not value betting is not droping odds, but these people i think , they can hit at the same time a match . I have some pictures that can prove this but I want someone with experience talking privately .

**Gaze73** · 06-22-19, 12:23 PM

When you have early info about missing players the odds will move by 50% easily.

**gojetsgomoxies** · 06-27-19, 04:06 PM

i definitely think certain people can consistently pick off weak lines on the open. after the open it becomes alot harder.

of course, there seems to be more than one open. a soft "one casino" open in vegas is very soft. i think somewhere it shows army-navy total opening at 51 or 49 or something like that. i think it got driven way down in mere minutes........the general market open is moderately soft.

**TenPointMatt** · 07-11-19, 04:00 AM

ive found that the single biggest predictor of odds movement is which side i bet on 5 seconds later. 100% accuracy.

**epani** · 07-11-19, 09:09 AM

who is it ?

**Gaze73** · 07-11-19, 10:30 AM

I find it funny when odds move differently on various books, you'd think they'd be all synched up with Pinny but that isn't so. Sometimes Pinny closes e.g. at 1.85 and William Hill at 2.1 in a tennis matchup.

**BigdaddyQH** · 07-11-19, 11:20 AM

In American Football, you will see the lines drift back to their original opening by game time, no matter what they did earlier in the week. This is especially true regarding totals, which can move as much as 6 points before starting their correction.

**epani** · 07-11-19, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

In American Football, you will see the lines drift back to their original opening by game time, no matter what they did earlier in the week. This is especially true regarding totals, which can move as much as 6 points before starting their correction.

we are not talking about American football or tennis, what I mean is football matches. Some people place big bets in the morning, bets are played with Asian handicap (1x2) and under over. Example: they bet elfsborg - helsingborg (helsingborg +0.5 @ 1.9) after a little while 1.9 runs 1.5. this is just one example, but they put almost every football category in the premier league, the second league, the international match. they are almost 90% correct with their bets. I do not know if they simply bet or do trading. is something like the txodds platform announcements with oci reports. i need something like that.

**acquavallo** · 10-09-19, 10:57 AM

Originally posted by epani

we are not talking about American football or tennis, what I mean is football matches. Some people place big bets in the morning, bets are played with Asian handicap (1x2) and under over. Example: they bet elfsborg - helsingborg (helsingborg +0.5 @ 1.9) after a little while 1.9 runs 1.5. this is just one example, but they put almost every football category in the premier league, the second league, the international match. they are almost 90% correct with their bets. I do not know if they simply bet or do trading. is something like the txodds platform announcements with oci reports. i need something like that.

For better results, cross post this in Soccer forum. Clean up spelling and punctuation, substitute Brit terminology - bet for punt, etc.
It can't hurt.
Good luck.

**milwaukee mike** · 10-11-19, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by epani

we are not talking about American football or tennis, what I mean is football matches. Some people place big bets in the morning, bets are played with Asian handicap (1x2) and under over. Example: they bet elfsborg - helsingborg (helsingborg +0.5 @ 1.9) after a little while 1.9 runs 1.5. this is just one example, but they put almost every football category in the premier league, the second league, the international match. they are almost 90% correct with their bets. I do not know if they simply bet or do trading. is something like the txodds platform announcements with oci reports. i need something like that.

i think a lot of the line movement is probably based on them betting/recommending it... pretty hard for them to move a premier league match that much but i definitely believe it on the smaller leagues

"they" can be correct most of the time, because the line moves on their bets, doesn't mean there is any great value on their side