I recently looked over a previous thread posted by Jay Edgar in 2006, which provided statistical results for NBA true money lines (later enchanced by Ganchrow, whom provided statistical results for NBA true money lines categorized by home or road favorites from '91-'06)
I'm curious what the true money line is for the 3rd game in 4 days scenarios in the NBA.
From my basic beginner reasoning, the favorite team's winning percentage should go down due to fatigue of playing the 3rd game in 4 nights. Therefore, if odds for dogs offered are favorable compare to the true moneylines then it might be +ev for selecting dogs with favorable odds.
I'd appreciate your inputs
Regards
A Novice Capper
I'm curious what the true money line is for the 3rd game in 4 days scenarios in the NBA.
From my basic beginner reasoning, the favorite team's winning percentage should go down due to fatigue of playing the 3rd game in 4 nights. Therefore, if odds for dogs offered are favorable compare to the true moneylines then it might be +ev for selecting dogs with favorable odds.
I'd appreciate your inputs
Regards
A Novice Capper