Predicting Overtimes in College Basketball

[Waterstpub87]

Trying to figure out a formula to predict the chance a college basketball game goes to overtime. Found data that says 6% of games go to overtime. It has to be more likely with even match opponents. Has anyone figured out or found a formula for overtime% based on pointspread?

[tsty]

why are you wasting your time with useless shit?

[evo34]

You can probably derive it using some matchup data at dolphinsim.com.

[Drew Martin]

Did you have any luck Waterstpub?

[Waterstpub87]

Did you have any luck Waterstpub?

I did not really pursue it much. Probably not much of a factor to spend time testing.

[jtoler]

Why you wanna know this bro?

[nash13]

6% of the games i covered in the DB has gone to Overtime.
There is no value in chasing this.

[nash13]

http://sportsdatabase.com/ncaabb/query?output=default&sdql=overtime+and+H+and+-10%2C-5%2C-4%2C-3%2C-2%2C-1%3C%3Dline%3C%3D10%2C5%2C4%2C3%2C2%2C1&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

[3-1LeadBlown]

To be honest this is just luck and only luck

[ans61201]

Yeah don't waste your time.