What are the odds ATS for always blindly picking either the fav or dog?

**diogee** · 03-19-09, 05:17 AM

I think it all depends on how efficient the market is at the time...the goal for long term is to beat the closing market (most efficient number) so blindly betting anything isn't the way to goal. Research trends, find angles, look through recent games, fade high public picks with no line move or move against...anything but blindly picking. I learned the hard way and quickly got buried to the tune of 10k betting no more than $150 per game. One other thing I would not recommend is betting with the public everytime...books are in business for a reason. Even with the vig books would be gone if every heavy public pick would win.

**ijustwant2bpaid** · 03-19-09, 05:19 AM

I'm not planning on it I just want something to compare my stats with...

**diogee** · 03-19-09, 05:25 AM

Ahh gotcha...good to hear. There is no definitive answer imo...it is all about timing with odds constantly changing. Some games the Fave and dog both cover (line moves where the game lands in between). Same goes with public.

**ijustwant2bpaid** · 03-19-09, 05:30 AM

Thanks, very hard to track depending on the book too I guess, I hate it when I cant find an answer to a question but I believe that may be one of those instances. Read my post about the martingdale if you have a second and let me know if you can answer any oof those questions as well, if you have the time of course, appreciate the responses though.