you guys are a little too caught up with the thought that the "post up" side is doing all the line moving..when in fact, the "credit" side of the big books carries much more weight
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RonPaul2008
SBR Hall of Famer
06-08-07
6741
#37
Originally posted by RonPaul2008
Just happened on the pepperdine/washington state total.
Shit pisses me off!
This game is unreal. Moved way up, then down again all the way, then up again all the way, then down again, then up again, then down again. WTF I'm done with this bullshit.
This game is unreal. Moved way up, then down again all the way, then up again all the way, then down again, then up again, then down again. WTF I'm done with this bullshit.
I think u need to stick with the numbers within ur model. Once the over/under is not in a favorable range then u just need to refrain from betting. Best of luck
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RichardGeorge
SBR Wise Guy
04-18-10
640
#39
Originally posted by RonPaul2008
This game is unreal. Moved way up, then down again all the way, then up again all the way, then down again, then up again, then down again. WTF I'm done with this bullshit.
Maybe you should focus on actually capping the game instead of piggybacking people who don't have a clue?
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raydog
SBR Hall of Famer
11-07-07
6984
#40
Originally posted by RichardGeorge
Maybe you should focus on actually capping the game instead of piggybacking people who don't have a clue?
your "gut" guesses(also known around the forums as "capping" ) are nowhere near as good as the modelers who are moving the majority of the lines...
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RonPaul2008
SBR Hall of Famer
06-08-07
6741
#41
The ncaa total manipulators seem to have taken the day off with the Duke and Northwestern games.
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Dank_Fire
SBR MVP
05-13-09
2269
#42
I hate this shit too. I literally dont feel safe punching in a bet till 5 seconds before it goes off. I guess its just some sharps who are playing back the other number back the opposite way and hope it middle it dont know what to make it them. line manipulation seems to happen more in college hoops than any other sport
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RonPaul2008
SBR Hall of Famer
06-08-07
6741
#43
Originally posted by Dank_Fire
I hate this shit too. I literally dont feel safe punching in a bet till 5 seconds before it goes off. I guess its just some sharps who are playing back the other number back the opposite way and hope it middle it dont know what to make it them. line manipulation seems to happen more in college hoops than any other sport
No, much of the time it has not moved enough to be a worthwhile middle. They are moving it one way and then playing it bigger the other way (or the book(s) are manipulating it to their advantage).
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ronald
SBR MVP
10-31-05
4918
#44
This is known as PENDULUM STEAM and has been prevalent in NCAAB (especially totals) for a number of years since it doesn't take much to move a line significantly (due to low limits).
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possum11
SBR High Roller
10-20-11
172
#45
don't bet college hoops much but getting into it now. you're losing totals by 1 or 2 points often enough? I don't understand why you care if someone is moving it.