WNBA handicapping

**LT Profits** · 02-12-09, 01:33 AM

Paging Mr. Durito.

WNBA is his best sport.

**Dark Horse** · 02-12-09, 01:37 AM

I focused on WNBA totals a few years ago. Was successful, but I wasn't as fresh for football. Too much pacing up and down the room cracking the imaginary whip over those girls.

Totals in the WNBA can be profitable because women don't have as many gears as men. For instance, if men can play at four or five different speeds, women play at two or three. Tempo is key to totals. Exactly what makes the sport boring to watch makes it interesting for totals.

Techniques can carry over. I use the same basic method to calculate a total as for the NFL (but have taken it deeper for football).

**reno cool** · 02-12-09, 02:31 AM

Originally posted by Dark Horse

I focused on WNBA totals a few years ago. Was successful, but I wasn't as fresh for football. Too much pacing up and down the room cracking the imaginary whip over those girls.

Totals in the WNBA can be profitable because women don't have as many gears as men. For instance, if men can play at four or five different speeds, women play at two or three. Tempo is key to totals. Exactly what makes the sport boring to watch makes it interesting for totals.

Techniques can carry over. I use the same basic method to calculate a total as for the NFL (but have taken it deeper for football).

horse, your either way ahead of the pack or lost somewhere in the forest. But I appreciate your creativity.

**Dark Horse** · 02-12-09, 11:04 AM

I'm no expert on WNBA at all, but hardly anybody is taking it serious. So, at least in 2006, totals were easy to beat. Example (of a loss

):

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/13379-wnba-totals-7-9-a.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

There's no major soccer tournament this summer, so I may do some WNBA until the ASB. One thing that can be hard to factor in is that top players may come and go during the season, because they play in Europe or have to prepare for some tournament with their national teams. WNBA is not their priority.

A positive thing is that girls don't take nights off like the NBA guys.

**katstale** · 02-13-09, 05:30 PM

I am not sure where it is, but I know I addressed this in another thread over a year ago. The WNBA is definitely easier to cap than virtually any other sport. Ask yourself why there is no line for women's college basketball?

When you are willing to accept the truth to this question your eyes will be opened to making WNBA cash. Good luck Justin. From what I have seen from your analysis of other matters, this should be a piece of cake for you. I too am saddened financially by the demise of Arena League and I never watched a complete game in my life.

Come to think of it, I have also never watched more than abt 5 minutes of a WNBA game. If the game itself didn't sicken you--the crowd shots surely would.

**smoke a bowl** · 02-14-09, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by katstale

I am not sure where it is, but I know I addressed this in another thread over a year ago. The WNBA is definitely easier to cap than virtually any other sport. Ask yourself why there is no line for women's college basketball?

When you are willing to accept the truth to this question your eyes will be opened to making WNBA cash. Good luck Justin. From what I have seen from your analysis of other matters, this should be a piece of cake for you. I too am saddened financially by the demise of Arena League and I never watched a complete game in my life.

Come to think of it, I have also never watched more than abt 5 minutes of a WNBA game. If the game itself didn't sicken you--the crowd shots surely would.

You are right and wrong all in the same sentence. WNBA is easy to cap but that is not why there is no women's college hoop lines. No WNCAA because there is not enough interest in it. Games are rarely on TV. However as I'm sure you know, they do put lines out on the tournament because now there is a little interest.

**katstale** · 02-14-09, 11:42 AM

that stuff you are smokin must be good. They are on tv all the time. its politically correct for espn to put them on on their lesser channels. there is probably lesser interest in the wnba than there is in college. Take another hit and relax. i stand by what i said

**durito** · 02-14-09, 11:53 AM

5dimes has NCCAB Womens lines every weekend for a few games.

50 Colombian Peso limit.

**smoke a bowl** · 02-14-09, 12:38 PM

Originally posted by katstale

that stuff you are smokin must be good. They are on tv all the time. its politically correct for espn to put them on on their lesser channels. there is probably lesser interest in the wnba than there is in college. Take another hit and relax. i stand by what i said

Stuff I'm smokin is awfully good.

**BigDaddy** · 02-16-09, 01:13 AM

#19 from majorwager is the best WNBA handicapper i have come across on all the forums i will follow that guy blindly every time if the # is available

**mjc257** · 02-23-09, 08:09 PM

Justin,

I believe that anyone who thinks WNBA is going to be easy in 2009 is wrong. In 2006 it was easy. In 2007 it got a little tougher. In 2008, it became really tough after the first month of the season.

Sure, the lines are beatable, particularly early season totals (in my opinion). But you have to think that books are going to be really cautious with these totals early in the year. Low limits, aggressive action towards players who are beating them, volatile line movements (similar to what they’ve done with CBB totals in 08-09), etc. You’re not going to be able to get down much, and a lot of books will show you the door or cut your limits in a hurry if they know you are sharp.

I am familiar with your qualifications and I’m certain you can beat it. But I don't believe it’ll be the cakewalk that this thread makes it out to be.

PM’ed you. Good luck with it.

**shantystar** · 03-02-09, 05:44 PM

this season i want to make some money on wnba.

**Dark Horse** · 03-02-09, 06:23 PM

I just learned today that the US women's pro soccer league kicks off its very first season on March 29th... Expect some soft lines there.

**The General** · 03-02-09, 06:25 PM

I play the WNBA just as I do the NBA. I got sidetracked in 08/09 with my NBA, but will whole-heartedly be playing the WNBA. As we get into the season I will try and discuss more about my methods.

**durito** · 03-02-09, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by Dark Horse

I just learned today that the US women's pro soccer league kicks off its very first season on March 29th... Expect some soft lines there.

and 50 dollar limits

**frostno98** · 03-02-09, 07:03 PM

Lines are similar to college basketball. Totals seems to be easier to handicap than the pointspread. I experimented the WNBA for the first time last year and had a good run before the Olympic hold over. Looking forward to another challenge this season.

**Dark Horse** · 03-02-09, 07:16 PM

Originally posted by durito

and 50 dollar limits

Justin is interested in obscure markets. I believe he once mentioned basket weaving as example. Wonder what the soccer limits would be for real. 500?

**durito** · 03-02-09, 07:21 PM

Originally posted by Dark Horse

Justin is interested in obscure markets. I believe he once mentioned basket weaving as example. Wonder what the soccer limits would be for real. 500?

Pinny has tons of shit with $50 limits. I bet they start it there. The listed limit will probably be $250, but every game will be circled to $50. If they start taking a beating, they will pull em entirely. They did it to several south american soccer leagues last year.

I'll give it a look if there are a few places that will take $250 each.

**ijustwant2bpaid** · 03-03-09, 04:46 AM

ts got a clone wtf

**Justin7** · 03-03-09, 11:32 AM

Originally posted by Dark Horse

Justin is interested in obscure markets. I believe he once mentioned basket weaving as example. Wonder what the soccer limits would be for real. 500?

I won't touch a sport unless I can bet at least 2k on it.

I actually said I'd bet on underwater basket weaving if I could get down on it.

Women's soccer... I like it! I hope the market size is decent. Of everything in sports, my favorite part is attacking new sports. Betting sucks. Bookkeeping sucks. Dealing with books and managers that hate you sucks. But turning complex sports into simple distribution curves, searching for the mathematical truths... That is fun!

**coldhardfacts** · 03-03-09, 05:52 PM

MATCHUPS MATCHUPS MATCHUPS. WNBA handicapping is about the same as the NBA. Look to bet on undervalued teams who are statistically better than their records indicate, and against overvalued teams for which the reverse is true.

The Olympic break f#*kkd everything up last year and I got crushed late. Made it all back in the playoffs, though.

**Dark Horse** · 03-05-09, 09:35 AM

Originally posted by Justin7

I actually said I'd bet on underwater basket weaving if I could get down on it.

I forgot the most important part. Watching people decide between winning and suffocating.