Psuedo-Math Probability Question....dartboard
take a close look a the following picture of a dartboard
ignore the bulleye and areas outside of the board. the numbers are half even half odd, but numbers are not placed in even-odd alternative pattern.
you have a bunch of amateur dart (amateur meaning they can't hit the point consistently even if they tried really hard) players in a bar and decided to take turns throwing darts after couple pints of lager.
you and your buddy are sitting at the bar observing those tipsy dart players and decide to make some side wagers on whether the next throw going to hit an even number or an odd number. that is a 50/50 proposition.
now let's consider some additional information is known for the next dart player. would you change your probability assessment based on the following new information?
1) would you increase/decrease your probability for even number if you know the dart player is right handed?
2) would you increase/decrease your probability for even number if you know the dart player is very tall?
i am curious because i am going to make some diogee style capping for all the ncaa bb games this sat and i am right handed, so not sure if i have a systematic bias.
ignore the bulleye and areas outside of the board. the numbers are half even half odd, but numbers are not placed in even-odd alternative pattern.
you have a bunch of amateur dart (amateur meaning they can't hit the point consistently even if they tried really hard) players in a bar and decided to take turns throwing darts after couple pints of lager.
you and your buddy are sitting at the bar observing those tipsy dart players and decide to make some side wagers on whether the next throw going to hit an even number or an odd number. that is a 50/50 proposition.
now let's consider some additional information is known for the next dart player. would you change your probability assessment based on the following new information?
1) would you increase/decrease your probability for even number if you know the dart player is right handed?
2) would you increase/decrease your probability for even number if you know the dart player is very tall?
i am curious because i am going to make some diogee style capping for all the ncaa bb games this sat and i am right handed, so not sure if i have a systematic bias.