This is just the beginning and I know it's a long way from being done, mainly because part of the process is done by trial and error. But heres what I got.
I average out the teams batting avg. for the year and against this pitcher (if data is present).
I then take that avg and multiply it by 27 (the least amount of batters per game)
After getting that whatever my hits come out to be, say a team is hitting .299 collectively, that would come out to be 8 hits. I then take .299 and multiply it by 8. I repeat this until the number comes out to be less than .5 of a hit.
Then say I project this team to have say 11 runs. I will divide that number by 2.5 to get the amount of runs I'm projecting to be scored. (based off 1 run per every 2.5 hits)
I haven't come up with anything for the errors yet more than likely just gonna average out the fielding %'s and go from there.
Let me know what you guys think and lets see if we can't build this system together. Thanks!
I average out the teams batting avg. for the year and against this pitcher (if data is present).
I then take that avg and multiply it by 27 (the least amount of batters per game)
After getting that whatever my hits come out to be, say a team is hitting .299 collectively, that would come out to be 8 hits. I then take .299 and multiply it by 8. I repeat this until the number comes out to be less than .5 of a hit.
Then say I project this team to have say 11 runs. I will divide that number by 2.5 to get the amount of runs I'm projecting to be scored. (based off 1 run per every 2.5 hits)
I haven't come up with anything for the errors yet more than likely just gonna average out the fielding %'s and go from there.
Let me know what you guys think and lets see if we can't build this system together. Thanks!
