Let's say you handicap a CBB game at 125. What kind of line advantage would you like to have to place a wager. If you liked the over and the line was 122 would 3 points be enough to get a decent edge? How many points off the total line would you look for to make your bet?
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How confident are you of your numbers?
Is the market always moving towards where you cap the game?Comment -
Justin, I am pretty confident in my numbers. My numbers are usually pretty close(less than 3) with the actual opening number, but there are always a few that are off by more than three points. I just am not sure how many points would be needed to have an edge?
With the second part I would say the line move against me more often than not which is usually why I like to place wagers as early as possible.Comment -
Did you ever try the half point calculator?Comment -
I use it when comparing lines at different books and betting the better number but haven't used it when using my handicapped lines with the totals. I realize that probably would be the best way and will do so.Comment -
2 points is all you need at -110 juice
1 1/2 points if you have -105 juice.
share those CBB totals projection numbers lets see them! BOL!Comment -
Try, I will do that. How about sides, would a 1 point difference be enough to make a wager(my line vs. offshore line). Using Ganchrows half point calculator you have about the same edge when there is a difference of 2 points with a total and a 1 point side. Is 1 point enough though on a side though?Comment