QUIZ: What does this mean????

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  • big0mar
    SBR MVP
    • 01-09-09
    • 3374

    #1
    QUIZ: What does this mean????
    Updating my NFL push-probs...

    Visiting teams that are +7 push 4.6% of the time

    Visiting teams that are -7 push 1.6% of the time

    What does this mean?
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  • Stallion
    SBR MVP
    • 03-21-10
    • 3616

    #2
    Seems self explanatory to me.
    Comment
    • daringly
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-10-05
      • 114

      #3
      This means you might want to recheck your data, or look at more games. I would expect these to push much more often.
      Comment
      • The Kraken
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 12-25-11
        • 28918

        #4
        According to your data it means teams that are favored by 7 push less than teams getting the 7. Further than that, what specifically are you asking?
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Visitors pushing -7 should be a lot higher. Then again data may be skewed by having far fewer visitors -7 than visitors +7 over identical time frame.
          Comment
          • Pancho sanza
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-18-07
            • 386

            #6
            Use pinnacle to establish push prob on the 7, too few games in pro football to rely on historical frequencies.
            Comment
            • wantitall4moi
              SBR MVP
              • 04-17-10
              • 3063

              #7
              Versus Pinnacle since 2000 ...4 of 72 games that closed VISITOR -7 (ANY vig) pushed. 5.5%. Can debate if -7 +110 is 'really' -7 if you like, or even -7 -120, but with the NUMBER being -7 those are the results.

              Visiting teams PLUS 7, again any vig, were 5 of 147, 3.4%.
              Comment
              • sportsbetwin
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-07-09
                • 745

                #8
                Buy 1/2 point when home fav is -7
                Don't buy when home dog is +7
                Comment
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