Adjusting Base Bet based on correlated plays

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  • TotallyTilt
    SBR Rookie
    • 09-16-08
    • 23

    #1
    Adjusting Base Bet based on correlated plays
    Does anyone have any knowledge or advice on what to do when you have a set amount you want to bet based on your bankroll but then receive plays from different handicappers that are correlated?

    For example, let's say $500 is my optimal bet size based on my bankroll and a handicapper releases Over for a specific game. Then let's say another handicapper releases over 1st half for the same game. Or a handicapper releases over 2nd half on the same game.

    How do you adjust your bet size in that scenario? Or is there even a way to gauge how strong the correlation is, i.e. what percentage of games that go over for the game, go over for the first half.
  • Kolotoure
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-28-12
    • 28

    #2
    The problem in this scenario isn't the size of your bets, it is betting on what some tout tells you to
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