Reverse Line Movements Plays 10/18

[esz04]

So, after reading a lot on this approach, I figured I'd give it a try for this week. Based on what I saw on Sportsinsights, I think these are the plays that make sense this week:

Duke +3.5 -125 (B .5)
Colorado St. +21.5
Missouri +4
SMU +13.5
South Carolina +3.5 -145 (B 1.5)

Thoughts?

As a side note, I know that this method has produced a solid winning %. Is this true even if you get in at the least favorable line or is it only measured against the opening line? Thanks a bunch.

[tab]

I would do a 5 teamer teaser with these selections. I am not sure about South Carolina. I really like the other four picks.

[strictlywinners]

Ok yes this theory does produce about 62% winners if you get in at best line. That is why the line moves, I don't know what the percentage is at the less favorable lines but I ensure you it is very close to 50% which means its a losing theory.

[TPowell]

I find this hard to believe, I really look at the EARLIEST line movements when I make my plays. Most of the time, Joe Blow isn't betting this early