Who wins on Friday Night??? Need Help!!!

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  • L2Gunz
    SBR MVP
    • 09-23-08
    • 2199

    #1
    Who wins on Friday Night??? Need Help!!!
    I should've followed the reverse line movement last night and cashed in w/ the rest of you all. I'm pissed I lost my ass last night on BYU (stupid fvckin mormons, when i see one riding a bicycle im gonna throw human shit on them) Tonight I see two teams that I really dont give a shit about, but I def. need a winner winner chicken dinner. Any thoughts are extremely helpful at this point.
    Last edited by L2Gunz; 10-17-08, 08:48 AM.
  • Lout84
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-09-07
    • 580

    #2
    Don't chase.
    Comment
    • L2Gunz
      SBR MVP
      • 09-23-08
      • 2199

      #3
      Originally posted by Lout84
      Don't chase.
      I understand Lout, I might just wait till saturday/sunday, I do have some games on Sunday that I really like. Thanks
      Comment
      • xstud
        SBR MVP
        • 01-12-08
        • 1643

        #4
        If you need a winner... do a little analysis on the game...

        Boise has always been tough at home... however this year they have only roughed up 2 teams really bad at home.... La Tech and Idaho state. Baylor was a 2 score game.

        They have only went over 51 1 time at home.

        Hawaii beat them last year in Hawaii... ending a winning streak.

        On the other side of things...

        Hawaii has completely gotten destroyed by a very good florida team and an oregon state team who beat USC. The other games were all close... but against sub par teams...

        Hawaii has slowly started to gel over the past few weeks HOWEVER the play is still sloppy.


        Boise wins in every statistical category...

        Hawaii has 2 straight wins and the play of the QB has improved...

        Looking at the past... Boise has beaten 3 teams by 3 or more scores...

        Southern Miss (away), La Tech (home), Idaho State (home).... So you need to ask yourself "is hawaii better than these teams?

        Personally, I would go with Hawaii +24... it is by no means a lock... but Hawaii already beat La Tech. You just have to realize that this will either be a complete blowout or if Hawaii can get on the board early with a score or 2 they will cover.
        Comment
        • ipickwinners
          SBR MVP
          • 01-06-08
          • 3136

          #5
          gl
          Comment
          • teaserpleaser
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 08-14-08
            • 26016

            #6
            hit the hawaii team total over 13.5
            Comment
            • SportNut
              SBR MVP
              • 05-16-07
              • 1984

              #7
              Originally posted by teaserpleaser
              hit the hawaii team total over 13.5
              I like this play.
              Comment
              • Lout84
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 11-09-07
                • 580

                #8
                Originally posted by SportNut
                I like this play.
                If there were any bet tonight, I think this would be it. However, it is best to wait until Saturday to make your money back up. You could dig yourself in a bigger hole betting on this line.
                Comment
                • Mic Lowrey
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-09-08
                  • 141

                  #9
                  i'm thinking about making a small bet on the hawaii line....still waiting to see how it plays out...i'm going to bet against the public if the %'s are right...

                  but last night was your own bad - if you ever see a line move like that again you know what to do. Espec. a 2pt home dog to a 2pt favorite by game time. Follow the smart money
                  Comment
                  • L2Gunz
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-23-08
                    • 2199

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Mic Lowrey
                    i'm thinking about making a small bet on the hawaii line....still waiting to see how it plays out...i'm going to bet against the public if the %'s are right...

                    but last night was your own bad - if you ever see a line move like that again you know what to do. Espec. a 2pt home dog to a 2pt favorite by game time. Follow the smart money
                    you right, nobody else to blaime but myself...i seen the line movement but was too damn hardheaded to go against my gut.
                    Comment
                    • Dbldown11
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-17-06
                      • 3605

                      #11
                      southern mississippi is better than hawaii, and so is baylor
                      Comment
                      • L2Gunz
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-23-08
                        • 2199

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Dbldown11
                        southern mississippi is better than hawaii, and so is baylor
                        so you saying, s.miss over rice and baylor over oklahoma st.???
                        Comment
                        • Dbldown11
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-17-06
                          • 3605

                          #13
                          Originally posted by L2Gunz
                          so you saying, s.miss over rice and baylor over oklahoma st.???
                          what? no I'm not saying that. Actually I love Rice in that game.
                          Comment
                          • Dbldown11
                            SBR MVP
                            • 08-17-06
                            • 3605

                            #14
                            I dont know why i mentioned baylor, wasnt thinking straight haha
                            Comment
                            • L2Gunz
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-23-08
                              • 2199

                              #15
                              sorry about that doubledown, i def. misunderstood what you were sayin. i was a bit confused but yeah i was kind of leanin towards oklahoma st. -17
                              Comment
                              • Deke101
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-15-07
                                • 1213

                                #16
                                Look for some plus line props such as:

                                First score of the game is a FG +240

                                Hawaii to Score 1st +200

                                Will a Special Teams or Defensive TD be scored? +155

                                All 3 of these have good value.
                                Comment
                                • hoopster42
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-12-08
                                  • 6099

                                  #17
                                  i am NOT betting this game, but if i was to, i would take BOISE STATE -24, here's why

                                  hawaii is a young team with a new coach, still trying to feel their way. they are mistake prone and highly unpredictable. one week, they are turning the ball over 7 times at home to san jose state and losing. the next week they are going to fresno state and winning straight up as huge dogs. i dont think they can be trusted.

                                  boise state, to the contrary, CAN be trusted to play a strong game at home, esp as a big fave. yes, they did not cover as a big fave earlier this yr when bowling green came to town, but i believe b. green is better than hawaii.

                                  hawaii's d will have a lot of trouble stopping boise on the blue carpet. hawaii's o is good for at least 3 turnovers in a typical game, probably more like 5 tonight in the hostile environment.

                                  i say go boise -24 or stay off the game and wait until saturday like another poster said. that is great advice. i am NOT betting this game, but if you must make a play, make a VERY SMALL play on boise and enjoy the game without stress
                                  Comment
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