pick LA Monroe +2 +100 over LA Lafayette

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  • daveheadsports
    SBR Rookie
    • 10-01-08
    • 10

    #1
    pick LA Monroe +2 +100 over LA Lafayette
    Both teams are 1-3, and they may appear to be evenly matched, but my numbers say otherwise and they are unambiguous.

    LA Lafayette has had to play Southern Miss and Illinois, losing to Illinois by only 3 points. Their QB Michael Desormeaux has been solid this season, throwing 60.6% for 6.6 yards per attempt. But the strength of their offense is their running game. Both of their top running backs have rushed more than 66 times for an average of 6.5 yards per carry. But these numbers were padded against Kent St and Kansas St. Starting RB Tyrell Fenroy ran for only 20 yards against Illinois.

    LA Monroe has had to face Arkansas, Auburn, and Tulane. Their senior QB Kinsmon Lancaster has been solid this season, throwing five touchdowns and just one interception. He has thrown 58.5% for 772 yards total and 6.1 yards per attempt. Starting RB Frank Goodin has rushed 46 times this season for an average gain of 5.2 yards per carry. LA Monroe's offense has sputtered, allowing 10 sacks in only 4 games, and converting only 13 of 54 third downs. LA Monroe needs to lean more on its running game.

    Last season, LA Monroe went on the road to beat ULL 17-11.

    LA Lafayette starting WR Derrick Smith is out (ankle).

    LA Monroe starting DB James Truxillo is out (knee), starting DE Alaric Coleman is out (back), DE Jameson Jordan is uncertain (knee), and WR LaGregory Sapp is out for the season (academics).
    Last edited by daveheadsports; 10-02-08, 06:19 PM. Reason: typo correction
  • dave11486
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 02-25-06
    • 999

    #2
    Its at 3 now dave, and I like it too. I'm a little shocked at how much money has been placed on UL Laf. Its almost as if no money is on Monroe.
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    • TAILNU
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-26-08
      • 166

      #3
      only because lafayette will kill them
      Comment
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