Navy +5.5/+6 at USAF

[Jcoz]

So this wins my (and no my opinion doesn't count for much) fishy line of the week award....previously held by Wisconsin -4.5 at Michigan and AZ -10 at New Mexico (for a revenge game no less)...I will admit that maybe because I liked these bets a little too much means I just might not have done a good job on my homework...

But I see from certain sources that there is a ton of action on the Navy side and yet the line has moved (or did for a bit) towrds public opinion.

Relatively new to these sorts of "clues" (which it may or may not be) but.....isnt it fishy when a side is getting a ton of action and the line moves towards it? (from +5.5 to +6)?

[Lout84]

Yes that is odd, but I see the action at 55% USAF. Hardly a reason to change the line..

[roasthawg]

I'm pounding Navy.

[Jimmydafreak]

I'd be real careful with Air Force this week. I have the biggest man-crush in the world on Air Force, and love riding them to the cashiers' window. I honestly don't think I've lost an Air Force bet in years. I've already cashed with them against Wyoming, and again as one of my best bets versus Utah.

Navy is a little different animal though. They have beaten Air Force straight up and ATS 5 years in a row now. Air Force loses some their option attack advantage against Navy, because Navy knows how to defend it. Of course the reverse argument could also be made with propriety.

I also fully realize that Navy is an east coast team that will be playing at an altitude of 6,620 feet above sea level, and that Air Force has had 2 weeks to prepare to end the Midshipmen's 5-game winning streak. I'm also mindful that Navy is coming off a huge upset victory over Wake Forest this past week. But none of that takes away from the fact that this is a huge rivalry game that Navy has dominated for a half of a decade.

Bookmaker currently has Air Force at -5.5. Personally, I just don't see a whole lot of value in this line for Air Force. I could be wrong, but If you put a gun to my head, I think I would play the other side here.

I'm quite sure my money will again be on Air Force before the season expires, but this week just won't be one of them. I think I'll wait for a better spot.

BOL!!!

FREAK OUT!!!

[Jcoz]

Yes that is odd, but I see the action at 55% USAF. Hardly a reason to change the line..

Where do you see that? I saw a very different picture earlier today. I still see it at 65% at thespread.com in fairness I only just found this site recently, so I can't attest for accuracy.

[3ptplay]

Air force. No letdown. They got game. Kaepo hurt. Enough said.