I am somewhat of a numbers junkie, and I take a look at the lines and what the outcome would be if teased in any 7 point direction.
I broke the lines down into subsets of
0-7 points
7.5-14 points
14.5-24 points
24.5 and greater
I further subdivided the sets into home dogs and home favs.
Two interesting finds.....
A Home Favorite of 7.5-14 Points teased down 7 points have a cumulative record of 28-5 this football season.
A Home Favorite of 14.5-24 teased down 7 points is not as productive, having a record of 20-5 for this football season.
The rest of the subsets don't have particularly strong numbers.
As for that first group...the 7.5-14 point Home Favorite....that group is 15-3 in just the last two weeks.
Teams that fit the profile this week.
Iowa -9
Miami, Fl -8.5
East Carolina -11
Clemson -11
Penn State -14
San Diego State -11
So, if you play teasers...these are your lines where value is most often found.
I broke the lines down into subsets of
0-7 points
7.5-14 points
14.5-24 points
24.5 and greater
I further subdivided the sets into home dogs and home favs.
Two interesting finds.....
A Home Favorite of 7.5-14 Points teased down 7 points have a cumulative record of 28-5 this football season.
A Home Favorite of 14.5-24 teased down 7 points is not as productive, having a record of 20-5 for this football season.
The rest of the subsets don't have particularly strong numbers.
As for that first group...the 7.5-14 point Home Favorite....that group is 15-3 in just the last two weeks.
Teams that fit the profile this week.
Iowa -9
Miami, Fl -8.5
East Carolina -11
Clemson -11
Penn State -14
San Diego State -11
So, if you play teasers...these are your lines where value is most often found.