First Post. I just noticed SportsbookReview had a forum.
Here is my betting card to start the year. I order the college football packages every year and I watch a lot games, but I don't expect to make any money betting this year due to poor money managment skills. I have 100 units (= $1000) to start:
My main game is Ore St -3 . Ore St doesn't play well early in the year but they haven't played Stanford week 1 before. The key to Ore Sts defense is the secondary where they are strong with 3 out of the 4 d backs returningi, including both corners and Al Afalava at safety. Al has a mean streak that will set the tone for the front 7, who are allowed to run wild. All I hear is Ore St has a whole new front 7, but they do return 19.5 sacks from the D Line. Riley is an experienced coach and has an abundance of talent that he redshirted or JC tansfers to fill the spots on the D Line and LB and Ore St has put up good defensive numbers 9 out of the last 10 years (2005 they gave up a lot of passing yards due to losing 3 All-Pac 1st or 2nd teamers from 2004).
Ore St's QBs struggled numbers-wise last year, but I am happy that Moevao won the QB job because I think he is more talented and went 4-0 as a starter last year. He is listed at 5'11" 235 and with that low center of gravity he is tough to tackle and I expect him to run more this than last year. I am not expecting anything from Stroughter but he is a dynamic play maker when he is healthy. Darrell Cutchings, James Rodgers and Jacquizz Rodgers play with a chip on their shoulder due to their short size but all they do is produce results. Riley hopes they all stay 4 years. rFr RB Ryan McCants is a nice complement size-wise at 6'1" 236.
4 of the last 5 years they have been blown out in their Pac 10 opener. The exception was USC who they play hard against. Pritchard is not a good QB. In the USC game he was just throwing the ball up for grabs. I think Stanford winds up in a QB rotation after Pritchard struggles and I don't see any QBs getting a good rythm. This is not a good thing against a team like Ore St that will come after the QB after they shut down the run. You need great timing between the QB, O Line, and WRs to beat Ore St. At WR for Stanford, Richard Sherman put up his numbers last year as the third WR as teams chose to double cover Evan Moore and Mark Bradford. Sherman talied off at the end of last year and Moore and Bradford are gone. Stanford has only run the ball well 1 year in the last 9 (2001 - 195 yards on 4.3 YPC). The Cards O line looks great on paper but they have a ways to improve just to get to average.
Stanford is a little over-confident and resting on their laurels from last year (beating two main rivals USC and Cal). Ore St has been hearing they are no longer a factor in the Pac 10 even though their record under Riley is as good as anyone's not named Carroll. My biggest worry is if I'm underestimating Harbaugh as a coach. He had a lot of success at San Diego.
Here is my betting card to start the year. I order the college football packages every year and I watch a lot games, but I don't expect to make any money betting this year due to poor money managment skills. I have 100 units (= $1000) to start:
My main game is Ore St -3 . Ore St doesn't play well early in the year but they haven't played Stanford week 1 before. The key to Ore Sts defense is the secondary where they are strong with 3 out of the 4 d backs returningi, including both corners and Al Afalava at safety. Al has a mean streak that will set the tone for the front 7, who are allowed to run wild. All I hear is Ore St has a whole new front 7, but they do return 19.5 sacks from the D Line. Riley is an experienced coach and has an abundance of talent that he redshirted or JC tansfers to fill the spots on the D Line and LB and Ore St has put up good defensive numbers 9 out of the last 10 years (2005 they gave up a lot of passing yards due to losing 3 All-Pac 1st or 2nd teamers from 2004).
Ore St's QBs struggled numbers-wise last year, but I am happy that Moevao won the QB job because I think he is more talented and went 4-0 as a starter last year. He is listed at 5'11" 235 and with that low center of gravity he is tough to tackle and I expect him to run more this than last year. I am not expecting anything from Stroughter but he is a dynamic play maker when he is healthy. Darrell Cutchings, James Rodgers and Jacquizz Rodgers play with a chip on their shoulder due to their short size but all they do is produce results. Riley hopes they all stay 4 years. rFr RB Ryan McCants is a nice complement size-wise at 6'1" 236.
4 of the last 5 years they have been blown out in their Pac 10 opener. The exception was USC who they play hard against. Pritchard is not a good QB. In the USC game he was just throwing the ball up for grabs. I think Stanford winds up in a QB rotation after Pritchard struggles and I don't see any QBs getting a good rythm. This is not a good thing against a team like Ore St that will come after the QB after they shut down the run. You need great timing between the QB, O Line, and WRs to beat Ore St. At WR for Stanford, Richard Sherman put up his numbers last year as the third WR as teams chose to double cover Evan Moore and Mark Bradford. Sherman talied off at the end of last year and Moore and Bradford are gone. Stanford has only run the ball well 1 year in the last 9 (2001 - 195 yards on 4.3 YPC). The Cards O line looks great on paper but they have a ways to improve just to get to average.
Stanford is a little over-confident and resting on their laurels from last year (beating two main rivals USC and Cal). Ore St has been hearing they are no longer a factor in the Pac 10 even though their record under Riley is as good as anyone's not named Carroll. My biggest worry is if I'm underestimating Harbaugh as a coach. He had a lot of success at San Diego.