FSU +3.5...should I pound it b/c of the hook?

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  • BuddyBear
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-10-05
    • 7233

    #1
    FSU +3.5...should I pound it b/c of the hook?
    These UM/FSU games are historically close and no reason to believe this one won't be either...national tv game, FSU revenge, good rivalry, uncertainty with new QBs...could come down to a FG either way.

    FSU +3.5 (-110; canbet) i think is the play here


    Is this the best value I am going to get with FSU?

    What do you guys think?
  • Mudcat
    Restricted User
    • 07-21-05
    • 9287

    #2
    Mansion exchange currently FSU +3.5 -104 (which works out to about -105 with the commission. $799 available.
    Comment
    • square
      SBR High Roller
      • 08-11-05
      • 165

      #3
      Canes better roll

      Put those gun's away bear,

      Don't pull that trigger yet,

      this is one that will be a real headbangger for sure but that dog is NOT barking yet, it is not just a given here buddy. This is by far the biggest game in the state of Florida and we all know the Canes actually finished behind the Noles in the final ACC standings because of that late-season slump last year.

      But don't count Coker and these Canes out yet buddy> This game is sweet revenge for coke and he wants this one BAD trust me.

      College foot's, laying 3 and a hook on the road? I would NEVER do it !



      I layed 3,hehehe
      sq
      Last edited by square; 09-04-05, 06:06 PM. Reason: added a nole
      Comment
      • BuddyBear
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-10-05
        • 7233

        #4
        Square....I want to take FSU +3.5.

        Did u take Miami -3 then?
        Comment
        • square
          SBR High Roller
          • 08-11-05
          • 165

          #5
          Roll Canes

          I did lay the 3 Bear,

          I always play the dog but just have different feelings about this big game 4 some reason buddy.

          I also usually get down on a game pretty big if I play it but having NOT taken the barker in this one, I did not fire very big buddy.


          good Luck man,
          sq
          Last edited by square; 09-04-05, 06:44 PM. Reason: spelling
          Comment
          • SBR_John
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-12-05
            • 16471

            #6
            I wouldnt touch this game. I might lay the points here. Miami may be just too good for the Noles. I think I would need 6 or 7 to take the road dog in this one.
            Comment
            • jentude
              SBR High Roller
              • 08-30-05
              • 153

              #7
              FSU hasnt beat Miami since Miami was just off probation, no reason to think that chages here if your not getting 7 stay away!
              Comment
              • square
                SBR High Roller
                • 08-11-05
                • 165

                #8
                Labor Day Weekend Question

                wrong spot guy's let me move it, long day.


                sq
                Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 04-16-15, 05:39 PM. Reason: image does not exist
                Comment
                • pags11
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 08-18-05
                  • 12264

                  #9
                  buddy, this would be a game I encourage people just to watch...won't be a whole lot of points scored here and should be close to the number either way...
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388189

                    #10
                    If I had to bet this game I would bet Miami.

                    I think FSU lost some criticial players also
                    Comment
                    • BuddyBear
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 7233

                      #11
                      Well bets in...FSU +3.5 (-105) at SIA. I don't think I am going to find better value then that for today and i might well try to get other things done today instead of sitting in front of the computer waiting for the line to move.

                      I know it's not popular pick

                      Most of my bets this weekend have been from SIA...Just to let everyone know I've gotten an additional half point to a point from them on their lines and that is something I really emphasize. In fact, I really hope Miami wins by 3!

                      For an underdog player, SIA is a great choice.
                      Comment
                      • BuddyBear
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-10-05
                        • 7233

                        #12
                        All's well that ends well
                        Comment
                        • hoppa_long
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 08-16-05
                          • 79

                          #13
                          Buddy were you pulling ya hair all during the game like I was?....Weatherhead was very fustrating to watch....felt sry for fsu def as they were running out of gas and no help in offence
                          Last edited by hoppa_long; 09-05-05, 11:19 PM.
                          Comment
                          • Mudcat
                            Restricted User
                            • 07-21-05
                            • 9287

                            #14
                            Nice call BB.
                            Comment
                            • Illusion
                              Restricted User
                              • 08-09-05
                              • 25166

                              #15
                              Good call with FSU.
                              Comment
                              • BuddyBear
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-10-05
                                • 7233

                                #16
                                Thanks guys...this was a nice way to close the first weekend of NCAAF. Finished up 4-3 (57% which is my overall goal).

                                Hoppa: it was a nightmare watching the FSU offense and I knew if FSU was gonig to cover it was going to be b/c of their defense but I really got worried when they failed to make it 13-7 as I thought Miami could win either 14-13 or 16-13 with either outcome satisfactory to me. I mean if FSU couldn't score from the 1 yeard line i knew they weren't going to score again

                                I was thiking a lot about this game and how fortunate i was b/c Miami just dominated them offensively and defensively but broke down in special teams.

                                But if you know me, you know that I employ a bet against the public strategy mainly.

                                If I had broken it down, i would have reached the same conclusion as everyone else MIAMI -3 but you learn that in a breakdown method, all the variables are accounted for in the line so I just prefer to bet against the public.

                                There is a reason sportsbooks are in business
                                Comment
                                • square
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 08-11-05
                                  • 165

                                  #17
                                  Good bet Bear

                                  Originally posted by BuddyBear
                                  Square....I want to take FSU +3.5.

                                  Did u take Miami -3 then?


                                  Good job bear ,

                                  as I said I generally bet only the barker but felt different about this one for some reason.

                                  Heck if we could win them all no one would be in any other business right.

                                  good man buddyB.

                                  sq
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388189

                                    #18
                                    Books won a fortune on second half

                                    Everyone had Miami
                                    Comment
                                    • BuddyBear
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 7233

                                      #19
                                      Books cleaned house yesterday with

                                      FSU +3.5
                                      MISS +3
                                      UNLV +15

                                      Not even close in any of the games. Public was 70% on the side of favorites yesterday for each game. Now u see why i am fond of the bet against the public strategy!
                                      Comment
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