It's going to be an ugly day for the public Dec. 28

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    It's going to be an ugly day for the public Dec. 28
    About 3/4ths of the bets are on WVU and Missouri.

    Either Iowa (+3) or NC State (+3) cover -- if not both -- and maybe even win outright. However, I'd take the points just to be sure, because they're trendy ML plays.

    I have a feeling one of the two loses by a point or two.
  • raiders510
    SBR MVP
    • 11-05-10
    • 1038

    #2
    dude, mizzou backers are being led to a slaughter
    Comment
    • Cuse0323
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-09-09
      • 30169

      #3
      If there is ever a day to lay off, tomorrow is that day.
      Comment
      • Masu485
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-14-08
        • 7700

        #4
        it's still early, so i think %s will be more even nearer to gametime. most people wager the day of. that being said, NC state +3 looks good but i am not playing any games tomorrow
        Comment
        • KingJIM
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 06-25-09
          • 757

          #5
          Originally posted by No coincidences
          About 3/4ths of the bets are on WVU and Missouri.

          Either Iowa (+3) or NC State (+3) cover -- if not both -- and maybe even win outright. However, I'd take the points just to be sure, because they're trendy ML plays.

          I have a feeling one of the two loses by a point or two.
          How could it be a bad day if the public splits and goes 1-1? Betting so much the vig kills them?

          I could see NC state cashing but not Iowa and how they played down the final stretch of the season. Iowa is a talented team though.
          Comment
          • bringdownthehous
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 02-14-10
            • 622

            #6
            Consider myself pretty lucky to have cashed AF tonight...Idk if im willing to test my luck/winnings with the bowl games tmrw...with the public all over Mizz and WV tmrw i dont think I want to go straight up with these lines...probably going to want tease one of these games with Eagles

            who do you guys think has the better chance to cover tomorrow if you had to pick one WV or Mizz?
            Comment
            • raiders510
              SBR MVP
              • 11-05-10
              • 1038

              #7
              neither...hahaha
              Comment
              • bringdownthehous
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 02-14-10
                • 622

                #8
                Originally posted by raiders510
                neither...hahaha
                lol but yeah I mean maybe for these particular games I guess public % makes a difference, Ill most likely lay off

                but I mean if Missouri is the better team than Iowa they should win, Idk if I really buy into the "don't really wanna be in this bowl" mentality, but I mean who knows, I don't consider myself a pro capper that's why I'm here gittin opinions

                If people are basing this off the public then what about the FBS championship game? Everyone and their mothers knows that Auburn will win that game, and you can bet the public will be ALL over Auburn in that game...that doesn't mean that Auburn won't cover (in my opinion) a very low spread considering what Auburn has done/ and shown what they can do

                Idk basically what I'm trying to say is, do you stay away because public is on it or do you stay away because you hoenstly don't believe Missouri is a better team than Iowa and won't win
                Comment
                • No coincidences
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-18-10
                  • 76300

                  #9
                  Personally, I'd take the Iowa and WVU ML's.

                  I could see the Hawks winning outright, and WVU prevailing by a point or two.
                  Comment
                  • PhillyeagleIrish
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 11-20-10
                    • 206

                    #10
                    Iowa with the points.. huge trend on big ten underdogs
                    Comment
                    • bigkrezca32
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 10-14-10
                      • 88

                      #11
                      Got on Mizz -1 about 2 weeks ago...

                      Definitely tempted by NC St +3......but havent pulled the trigger
                      Comment
                      • LLXC
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-10-06
                        • 8972

                        #12
                        Took NC State +3 and Mizz ML.
                        Comment
                        • Kav
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-25-09
                          • 3281

                          #13
                          i honestly dont see how WV loses, there defense is unreal compared to NC...
                          Comment
                          • Rio DiNero
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-03-08
                            • 2010

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Kav
                            i honestly dont see how WV loses, there defense is unreal compared to NC...
                            NC St. might be the best offense they have faced all year.
                            Comment
                            • riggs
                              Restricted User
                              • 11-06-08
                              • 1100

                              #15
                              Iowa and Mizzou will be low scoring, and Iowa IMO has a much better shot than NC State...
                              Comment
                              • nunny
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 11-09-10
                                • 76

                                #16
                                Sounds good to me. Im on NC Sate and Iowa
                                Comment
                                • HilltopTony
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-09-10
                                  • 767

                                  #17
                                  WVU wins but doesn't cover and Iowa wins outright by 7-10. Iowa flies over the total also.
                                  Comment
                                  • jwbama23
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-17-10
                                    • 2373

                                    #18
                                    these two games are stressing me the F*** out. During the regular season I would have easily bet Mizzou and NCState here. Now im on a horrible losing streak in these bowls and dont trust myself. I have a feeling if I place a wager on Mizzou then Iowa will kick their ass. I feel if I place a wager on Iowa I will walk around kicking myself all nite. I disagree about the low scoring. I think this game will go over. Mizzou will start with a lead and Stanzi will be tossing the ball around all evening. You have to respect what Ferentz has done in the bowl games though. His teams come ready to play.

                                    As for the NC State WV game. I will keep this simple. WV sucks and I dont believe they have any chance here. I could see a 28-7 NC State win. Just my two cents and Im called as ICE right now so take what I say with a grain of salt.
                                    Comment
                                    • Facepunch
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-17-09
                                      • 2090

                                      #19
                                      NC St. is one of the best ATS teams I have backed this season, (9-3)
                                      I am a diehard Mountaineer fan, and think this one is going to be a good one, I will put my money behind my team, because I think we either Win or push. NC st. does not run away with this one. I think NCst. is a bit overrated on offense, and won't have much of an answer for WVU.

                                      One of the lingering doubts/ issues I have had with WVU in this bowl game is the state of flux amongst their coaching core. Coach Stewart has effectively been given his walking papers (for the year after next) and I wonder how that effects his motivation, or more importantly the team's psyche.
                                      For a man that has been with the organization for so long and been through such adversity, one would think that it would not make a difference, especially in a Bowl Game, where he is a pretty decent 2-1 including the storied 2007 victory over Oklahoma after Rich Rod abandoned ship.

                                      Either way, Good luck to everyone, it could go either way.
                                      Comment
                                      • Facepunch
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-17-09
                                        • 2090

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jwbama23
                                        these two games are stressing me the F*** out. During the regular season I would have easily bet Mizzou and NCState here. Now im on a horrible losing streak in these bowls and dont trust myself. I have a feeling if I place a wager on Mizzou then Iowa will kick their ass. I feel if I place a wager on Iowa I will walk around kicking myself all nite. I disagree about the low scoring. I think this game will go over. Mizzou will start with a lead and Stanzi will be tossing the ball around all evening. You have to respect what Ferentz has done in the bowl games though. His teams come ready to play.

                                        As for the NC State WV game. I will keep this simple. WV sucks and I dont believe they have any chance here. I could see a 28-7 NC State win. Just my two cents and Im called as ICE right now so take what I say with a grain of salt.

                                        WVU sucks??
                                        Maybe that Is why you are losing bowl games.

                                        A team that has not lost a game all season by more than 6 points does not suck.
                                        A team that has not given up more than 21ts THE ENTIRE SEASON does not suck.
                                        I do not care how you feel about the Big East WVU is one of the best Defenses in college football right now.
                                        Comment
                                        • ngates815
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-01-09
                                          • 13845

                                          #21
                                          On Both Mizzou and WVU...Moneylines to win 350 each. Got Mizzou a couple weeks ago at -110, and I believe I have 430 to win 350 on WVU.

                                          Parlay with both teams 310 to win 640.


                                          Hopefully the public kills it, like they did on Baltimore and Indy this weekend. Then sets everyone up nicely for big losses on the BCS games.
                                          Comment
                                          • Serbone
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-21-09
                                            • 1300

                                            #22
                                            I like MU, small bet.
                                            MU is focused this yr after sleep walking against Navy last yr and getting pounded. Coach Pinkel will not let that happen. And Iowa's star WR is out, that is huge, do not need to double cover him. And a key Iowa RB is out, too.
                                            Difference in the two teams is defense... MU has one... Iowa allowed a ton of points agains quality opponents even though they have and excellent DL.
                                            MU QB Gabbert is NFL material, veteran OL will handle Iowa DL and throw the ball to different receivers all over the field.
                                            Comment
                                            • ringemup
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-24-08
                                              • 2112

                                              #23
                                              i like nc st. in this situation teams WV is a notch below wut they were in yrs past and geno smith needs a lot of work on his passing he can be erratic. NC st, has a solid front 7 on on defense n will be able to contain WVs ground game with a less than 100% devine. WV always has a good defense baking them on the other end n thats no different here. but i like russell wilson and his ability to run n pass.p his receivers r fast enough to get open and i think they can move the ball better than sum think. and in terms of coaching i give obrien a big edge he has a stellar bowl record back in his days with BC while stewart is not as experienced. look for a spirited effort 4rom the wolfpack as they find a way to win this one behind wilson and an underappreciated defense.
                                              Comment
                                              • Bones402
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 02-02-10
                                                • 697

                                                #24
                                                Yea i definitely think that Iowa could show up it seems when this team expects the world from them they fall flat on their face but when no one expects anything from them they always surprise people
                                                Comment
                                                • jwbama23
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-17-10
                                                  • 2373

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Facepunch
                                                  WVU sucks?? Maybe that Is why you are losing bowl games. A team that has not lost a game all season by more than 6 points does not suck. A team that has not given up more than 21ts THE ENTIRE SEASON does not suck. I do not care how you feel about the Big East WVU is one of the best Defenses in college football right now.
                                                  OK let me rephrase, WVU is not very good. A team that lost at home to Syracuse is not very good. If WVU was half way decent they would of won the Big East. Going to OT against Marshall was horrible. WV may be your team but facts are facts....they arent good!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Facepunch
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-17-09
                                                    • 2090

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jwbama23
                                                    OK let me rephrase, WVU is not very good. A team that lost at home to Syracuse is not very good. If WVU was half way decent they would of won the Big East. Going to OT against Marshall was horrible. WV may be your team but facts are facts....they arent good!

                                                    I am biased because it is my team. I guess we will see tonight.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jwbama23
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-17-10
                                                      • 2373

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Facepunch
                                                      I am biased because it is my team. I guess we will see tonight.
                                                      haha Im with you bro. I will argue anyone that Bama is still the best team in the country (and they are). I quit betting on Bama though. Just made the losses that much worse. Good luck tonite
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Facepunch
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-17-09
                                                        • 2090

                                                        #28
                                                        Bama gave up more points to LSU than did WVU
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jwbama23
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-17-10
                                                          • 2373

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Facepunch
                                                          Bama gave up more points to LSU than did WVU
                                                          and your team and my team should of beat LSU but we didnt. All about the matchups
                                                          Comment
                                                          • rockhardfister
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-27-08
                                                            • 1037

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Kav
                                                            i honestly dont see how WV loses, there defense is unreal compared to NC...
                                                            Better that the tar heals D? NC State tore them up. Big East blows dude. WV got beat by Syracuse @ home (Dominated)...explain that?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Facepunch
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-17-09
                                                              • 2090

                                                              #31
                                                              Did you even watch the Syracuse game, They got ONE touchdown, and had to settle for 4 field goals. Considering that they got 5 or 6 turnovers within field goal distance (as I recall) I would say that the defense was not the issue. Nobody is saying that the offense is stellar. Tar Heels have a great D, I think that is a valid point. Again in my opinion it is going to be a good (low scoring) game. Say what you want but WVU is still top 10 in every defensive statistic. They only give up an average of 12.8 per game.
                                                              I understand the bias against the Big East and feel that it is valid, but 12.8 per game??

                                                              Come on man, you are kidding yourself.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Facepunch
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-17-09
                                                                • 2090

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by jwbama23
                                                                and your team and my team should of beat LSU but we didnt. All about the matchups
                                                                Agreed ,

                                                                I will be surprised if the NC St. Team total goes over 21.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jwbama23
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-17-10
                                                                  • 2373

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Facepunch
                                                                  Agreed , I will be surprised if the NC St. Team total goes over 21.
                                                                  who knows? Again good luck. Maybe WV can win by one and we will both be happy. And the total stays under 49.

                                                                  Good luck with your plays tonite and for your team. One of us will be happy
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • antifoil
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                                    • 3993

                                                                    #34
                                                                    i am going to play missouri but stay away from the other game
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jml7z2
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 09-01-09
                                                                      • 110

                                                                      #35
                                                                      I don't think West Virginia sucks, but I do think they are pretty average. You throw them in a real conference like the SEC, Big 10, or Big 12 and they probably only go 7-5.

                                                                      Another reason I don't think BCS conferences should have auto qualifiers. I think the winner of the conference should get an auto bid only if they rank in the top 15 of the final BCS poll. UConn is very undeserving of the fiesta this year.
                                                                      Comment
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