Public can't pick a dog: The Sequel

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Public can't pick a dog: The Sequel
    Last week, I posted 7 wins out of 9 plays by fading the public trying to go with the underdog.

    Here are six more plays this week as an encore:

    Georgia -11
    (77% of the public on Tennessee)
    Michigan -4.5 (72% of the public on Michigan State)
    West Virginia -27.5 (67% of the public on UNLV)
    Wisconsin -22.5 (66% of the public on Minnesota)
    North Carolina -2 (66% of the public on Clemson)
    Nevada -38 (66% of the public on San Jose State)

  • tylerguy02
    SBR MVP
    • 11-29-09
    • 1987

    #2
    I like the concept. I might check back in the morning and tail a few. GL!
    Comment
    • $Burm$
      Restricted User
      • 12-03-09
      • 3019

      #3
      looks good NC, i need some wins after this rough week night stretch of college football games...Lets just say I took the under in all the games xcept mondays and uconn. and of course lost them all
      Comment
      • $Burm$
        Restricted User
        • 12-03-09
        • 3019

        #4
        I think my favorite out of all those is Michigan, I really like them in this matchup. Some other plays I like are South Carolina and LSU
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          I like Michigan and UNC, I think the public is right on Tennessee and I would not tough the games with double-digit favorites.
          Comment
          • LT Profits
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 10-27-06
            • 90963

            #6
            Originally posted by $Burm$
            I think my favorite out of all those is Michigan, I really like them in this matchup. Some other plays I like are South Carolina and LSU
            I am on other side of both your SEC plays. Alabama remembers what happened last time they went on the road, so they will be more focused this time. LSU is garbage and Florida always responds well after a loss.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by LT Profits
              I like Michigan and UNC, I think the public is right on Tennessee and I would not tough the games with double-digit favorites.
              That's the only caveat -- when you get above 20 points, it can become a crapshoot.

              With that being said, I went 7-2 with this last week and there were some big spreads sprinkled in there.
              Comment
              • ManBearPig
                SBR MVP
                • 12-04-08
                • 2473

                #8
                Like the Nevada and WVU picks...The total for the NV game is under 60? That's a little shady especially when I'm expecting them to put that up by themselves. I don't want to make any predictions but it would be a disappointment if we were to win by less than 40
                Comment
                • $Burm$
                  Restricted User
                  • 12-03-09
                  • 3019

                  #9
                  Originally posted by LT Profits

                  I am on other side of both your SEC plays. Alabama remembers what happened last time they went on the road, so they will be more focused this time. LSU is garbage and Florida always responds well after a loss.
                  I think one of those teams wont cover, just gotta decide which one.
                  Comment
                  • MoneyLineDawg
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-01-09
                    • 13253

                    #10
                    SC and LSU win straight up WOOOOOOO
                    Comment
                    • $Burm$
                      Restricted User
                      • 12-03-09
                      • 3019

                      #11
                      you guys think Texas A&M can get it done?
                      Comment
                      • GiveMeaBJ
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 09-08-09
                        • 8449

                        #12
                        Looks like 4-2!
                        Comment
                        • PoweRay
                          Restricted User
                          • 09-07-10
                          • 417

                          #13
                          GL this wknd
                          Comment
                          • LT Profits
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-27-06
                            • 90963

                            #14
                            Originally posted by $Burm$
                            you guys think Texas A&M can get it done?
                            Yes, nice Money Line dog.
                            Comment
                            • broadway6
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-14-09
                              • 13337

                              #15
                              hey NC, i've actually started to look @ the same games using the same concept. i'm using the 60% rule. on your plays
                              Comment
                              • brooks85
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-05-09
                                • 44709

                                #16
                                never like laying that many but i like nev -38, sjst is garbaho. I cant believe the were actually favored by -10 over anyone last week.
                                Comment
                                • broadway6
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-14-09
                                  • 13337

                                  #17
                                  NC, sportsinsights has 55% of the bets on west va spread but 71% on UNLV ml. not sure what to make of that...
                                  Comment
                                  • WIZARDOFBEANTOWN
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 03-18-10
                                    • 13389

                                    #18
                                    good luck today
                                    Comment
                                    • balls2wall
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-20-09
                                      • 2642

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                      Last week, I posted 7 wins out of 9 plays by fading the public trying to go with the underdog.

                                      Here are six more plays this week as an encore:

                                      Georgia -11
                                      (77% of the public on Tennessee)
                                      Michigan -4.5 (72% of the public on Michigan State)
                                      West Virginia -27.5 (67% of the public on UNLV)
                                      Wisconsin -22.5 (66% of the public on Minnesota)
                                      North Carolina -2 (66% of the public on Clemson)
                                      Nevada -38 (66% of the public on San Jose State)



                                      I really like that angle and agree with the concept. I will be keeping an eye on it to see how it does


                                      good luck
                                      Comment
                                      • ACCBlitz
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 07-30-10
                                        • 595

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                                        Last week, I posted 7 wins out of 9 plays by fading the public trying to go with the underdog.

                                        Here are six more plays this week as an encore:

                                        Georgia -11
                                        (77% of the public on Tennessee)
                                        Michigan -4.5 (72% of the public on Michigan State)
                                        West Virginia -27.5 (67% of the public on UNLV)
                                        Wisconsin -22.5 (66% of the public on Minnesota)
                                        North Carolina -2 (66% of the public on Clemson)
                                        Nevada -38 (66% of the public on San Jose State)

                                        3-2 so far today. Decent profit if Nevada can cover. Interesting stuff.
                                        Comment
                                        • FishFace5
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-15-09
                                          • 1768

                                          #21
                                          I like the idea
                                          Your numbers are way off though. Where the hell were you looking that public was on Tenn 77% or 66% clemson
                                          Public might have been on them but not close to that dramatically
                                          Comment
                                          • $Burm$
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 12-03-09
                                            • 3019

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by FishFace5
                                            I like the idea
                                            Your numbers are way off though. Where the hell were you looking that public was on Tenn 77% or 66% clemson
                                            Public might have been on them but not close to that dramatically
                                            depends when you looked. I know I saw 80% of tickets coming in on Tenn last night at one point. If you look closer to gametime or after gametime at the % they be closer beacause they even out with the late action.
                                            Comment
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