Article: Home Sweet Home CFB System

**ackem19** · 09-22-10, 11:32 AM

Cool post. I'll keep an eye on this.

**g2wvu07** · 09-22-10, 12:02 PM

sorry nm

**kboiler** · 09-22-10, 12:16 PM

Nice post. That is interesting for sure!

**buckeyefan88** · 09-22-10, 01:45 PM

So does this mean I should lay into Boston College this week? BC already knocked of 2 really difficult teams thus far (Kent St and Weber St). All jokes aside they have been preparing for VT since week 1. Might put a little somethin on BC, but haven't watched them all year some info would be nice about them.

**Uncle Harv** · 09-22-10, 04:10 PM

Pretty hard to argue with 22-0-1. But what time frame does that cover?

**ebbearsfb1** · 09-22-10, 07:22 PM

very cool stuff, wonder if we can keep this thread up throughout the year

**Duby** · 09-22-10, 09:02 PM

Very interesting! Thanks

**Hammew** · 09-22-10, 09:32 PM

Originally posted by Uncle Harv

Pretty hard to argue with 22-0-1. But what time frame does that cover?

I am not sure what the timeframe was for the 22-0-1 record, I will try and get more info to post. BOL

**Hammew** · 09-22-10, 09:34 PM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

very cool stuff, wonder if we can keep this thread up throughout the year

Yea I definitely want to try and keep up with everything, at the very least track the progress over a few weeks. If it works out it could be very nice.

**LT Profits** · 09-22-10, 10:26 PM

Meaningless, data mined small sample!

The more filters you add to a "system" like this, the less predictive it really is.

**kfranz31** · 09-22-10, 10:29 PM

will defintely check it out..thanks for the info....

**Hammew** · 09-23-10, 08:18 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Meaningless, data mined small sample!

The more filters you add to a "system" like this, the less predictive it really is.

Do you mean it has less meaning than all those idiotic posts in this forum??? Or just meaningless in general, just curious.

**Brock Landers** · 09-23-10, 11:37 AM

Doesn't Arkansas fit the bill as an undefeated home dog?

**g2wvu07** · 09-23-10, 12:30 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Doesn't Arkansas fit the bill as an undefeated home dog?

they're more than a 6 pt dog

**Hammew** · 09-23-10, 12:37 PM

Originally posted by Brock Landers

Doesn't Arkansas fit the bill as an undefeated home dog?

I'm not too sure, I am going to try and find something else about this deal. I found the article and thought it was interesting if it is true. BOL

**LT Profits** · 09-23-10, 04:06 PM

Originally posted by Hammew

Do you mean it has less meaning than all those idiotic posts in this forum??? Or just meaningless in general, just curious.

Meaningless because it is only 22 games and it took a lot of filters to come up with it. If you analyze thousands of games, it not that hard to find subsets like this as you add more and more filters, which is the very definition of data mining.

**thebestthereis** · 09-23-10, 04:16 PM

i like bc cause i live 10 miles from the stadium, am going to the game, and i'll be drunk. not sure of the record but getting drunk has hit 100% in every subsets

**Hammew** · 09-23-10, 05:17 PM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

i like bc cause i live 10 miles from the stadium, am going to the game, and i'll be drunk. not sure of the record but getting drunk has hit 100% in every subsets

**Hammew** · 09-23-10, 05:18 PM

fuk it sbr take this thread down its meaningless.

**ebbearsfb1** · 09-23-10, 05:33 PM

Just cause one guy comes on here, and says its meaningless, then fade away.... half the threads on here r meaningless

**Shonner** · 09-23-10, 05:50 PM

Originally posted by Hammew

Very interesting article I found check it out;

CFB Home Sweet Home System
By: Cajun Sports

This week’s college football system is quite simple but very powerful when used against the point spread. The system supports home teams playing with momentum having won their two previous games at home.

System: Play ON a home team (not a favorite of more than 2 points or underdog of more than 6 points) off 2 home SU wins. This system has a record of 22-0-1 ATS.
This system has produced two winners already this season not only did these teams cover the spread they actually won their games outright as underdogs.

The first qualifying contest was on Friday September 17 when Nevada hosted California and were installed as a 2.5 point home underdog they defeated the Golden Bears 52 to 31. The second qualifying game came on Saturday September 18 when Temple hosted Connecticut as a 5.5 point home underdog and defeated the Huskies 30 to 16.

Those two wins improved the system’s record to 22-0-1 ATS and this system averages covering the spread by more than two touchdowns per game.

With all the system parameters met, this week’s CAJUN SPORTS NCAA Football System of the Week qualifies the Boston College Eagles as our Play ON team plus the points over the Virginia Tech Hokies on Saturday.

Good intent here but if you search stats enough and trends you can find anything you want.

I'm sure there are certain trends that make a team 40-0, that doesn't mean the next 40 wont' go 0-40

there are thousands of possible trends and statistical abnormalities and outliers exist

**Hammew** · 09-23-10, 06:10 PM

Originally posted by Shonner

Good intent here but if you search stats enough and trends you can find anything you want.

I'm sure there are certain trends that make a team 40-0, that doesn't mean the next 40 wont' go 0-40

there are thousands of possible trends and statistical abnormalities and outliers exist

The road to hell is paved with good intentions.

**Uncle Harv** · 09-27-10, 01:47 PM

I guess BC didnt get the memo...Va Tech smoked em