Week 4 Plays

**ManBearPig** · 09-20-10, 06:48 PM

I think Boise is going to unload on OSU an win by like 30...they are playing their first home game and college game day will be there to boot. Expect them to come out hyped and run rugged on them. 55-21 or so here.

**justkeepwinning** · 09-20-10, 07:14 PM

ManBearPig - good points will look more into this. They need to win by a landslide to show that the win over Virginia Tech actually meant something.

**Flight** · 09-20-10, 08:13 PM

I agree with your Stanford and Auburn picks. I disagree with BYU.

I am looking at adding Miami (FL) as well, which is also on your plate.

**justkeepwinning** · 09-20-10, 09:24 PM

Flight - my leans are just the lines that jumped out to me when I looked over the lines earlier today still have much more work to do. The only plays I have made so far are Ole Miss and Auburn both at -2.5

**justkeepwinning** · 09-23-10, 12:28 PM

Thursday Night Play:
The U -3.5 (1x)
This isn't the usual Thursday Night game due to the fact both teams are coming off a bye week. Rest is not an issue here, however, suspensions on the Panthers are one. They are without their rush defensive end and that does not bode well here if Jacory comes out and throws the ball like he is capable of doing. The Hurricanes lost to Ohio State two weeks ago by 12 and in that game they had 4 turnovers. Pittsburgh is not a team that has caused lots of turnovers so far this season. The play here is Miami even though they are the road team and on a Thursday night, but with the information on paper plus the fact that the Stache sucks coaching in these type of games.

Lean:
Over 48.5

**justkeepwinning** · 09-23-10, 12:38 PM

Friday Night:
My lean has been on TCU when I first looked at the lines. I have been looking into this game more today and I believe I am switching my lean to SMU for a couple of reasons. First reason is this is huge home game for the Mustangs. Friday night game plus playing an instate school so the atmosphere should be a little more intense than usual. Secondly the Mustangs are better than average against the run. This works to their advantage against the Horned Frogs because they have been gashing their opponents for over 250 yards per game. If the Mustangs are able to stop the run the chances they cover the game greatly increase. Another important factor is the actually meaning of this game for both teams. For SMU, they come into the game on a two game winning streak with a chance to knock off one of the big (in terms of rankings) in state schools. For TCU, this is just another game they must win if they want a shot at a BCS bowl. They feel as if this is another game they should easily win and there is no way they are looking at this game in the same light the SMU players are.

Updated Lean: SMU +17

**justkeepwinning** · 09-23-10, 01:27 PM

Saturday Update:
Iowa -28 - no longer like this one in fact if I was to make a wager would probably be on Ball State
Georgia pk - could end up making this one 2x or bigger
Oklahoma -13.5 - yes they do have Texas on deck but they should roll in this one
Alabama -7 - still like this play a lot would really like to grab them at -6.5
Oregon State +17.5 - taking this one off...really don't know if they have the players and firepower to hang with Boise State especially with gameday there
Stanford -4.5 - really liking this play too, another one that might be a 2x or more. Notre Dame coming off two tough losses and someone tell me how they are going to stop Stanford's run game.
Arizona -6.5 - taking this one off...really don't see much advantage here for the Wildcats
BYU +3.5 - defiantly taking this one off...I might even make Nevada a play
Washington State +21.5 - still a slight lean here to the Cougars
Southern Mississippi -3.5 - keeping this one...La Tech is a weak team
Oregon -11.5 - just added this one a few days ago after a friend pointed the line out to me. Oregon seems to be on a mission this year and I look for them to prove their point this weekend.

**justkeepwinning** · 09-23-10, 01:53 PM

Adding West Virginia to leans

Plays:
Miami (FL) -3.5 (1x)
Ole Miss -2.5 (1x)
Auburn -2.5 (1x)

Updated Leans
Miami (FL) vs. Pittsburgh over 48.5
SMU +17
Georgia pk
Oklahoma -13.5
Alabama -7
Stanford -4.5 (large)
Nevada (small)
Washington State +21.5
Southern Mississippi -3.5
West Virginia +10
Oregon -11.5

**justkeepwinning** · 09-23-10, 03:51 PM

Adding:
Miami vs. Pittsburgh over 49 (1x)

Thursday Night Plays:
Miami -3.5 (1x)
Miami vs. Pittsburgh over 49 (1x)

Good luck tonight and this weekend

**justkeepwinning** · 09-24-10, 12:25 PM

Miami was an easy winner. Disappointed that Pittsburgh didn't even make an effort to score and that killed my over.

Friday Night Play:
SMU +17.5 (1x)

Good luck tonight

**justkeepwinning** · 09-24-10, 06:57 PM

Juiced out last night...hoping that's not the case tonight.

Adding:
TCU vs. SMU under 55 (-120) (1x)

Friday Plays:
SMU +17.5 (1x)
TCU vs. SMU under 55 (-120) (1x)

Good luck tonight

**justkeepwinning** · 09-25-10, 10:55 AM

Juiced out again last night on to Saturday

Saturday Plays:
Ole Miss -2.5 (1x)
Auburn -2.5 (1x)
Georgia pk (1x)
Oklahoma -14 (1x)
Alabama -7 (1x)
Nevada -4 (1x)
Washington State +22 (1x)
Southern Mississippi -3.5 (1x)
Stanford -4 (-120) (2x)

Have two more games I might play later today.

Good luck