Will this be a huge weekend for the public?

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  • Hotlanta Steam
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-08-10
    • 896

    #1
    Will this be a huge weekend for the public?
    For some reason I seem to think that the public is going to crush some games where I think the house is getting a little too cute...

    We always talk about the public being stupid but they do win sometimes otherwise they would never bet... The games that hook most people into playing are games where a team they know fairly well is only laying a small number against a team they think they will kill and bam the result hits as expected with ease and by next week the online account is opened and funded...

    Nearly every scenario for the below games has me hearing Admiral Akbar but I actually think they all cover easy... notice I left out Iowa...that one is a nasty nasty rusty bear trap for sure...

    Cal -3 @ Nevada

    Nebraska -3 @ Washington

    Navy - 3 @ La Tech

    Thoughts?
  • Hammew
    SBR MVP
    • 10-27-09
    • 2882

    #2
    Originally posted by Hotlanta Steam
    For some reason I seem to think that the public is going to crush some games where I think the house is getting a little too cute...

    We always talk about the public being stupid but they do win sometimes otherwise they would never bet... The games that hook most people into playing are games where a team they know fairly well is only laying a small number against a team they think they will kill and bam the result hits as expected with ease and by next week the online account is opened and funded...

    Nearly every scenario for the below games has me hearing Admiral Akbar but I actually think they all cover easy... notice I left out Iowa...that one is a nasty nasty rusty bear trap for sure...

    Cal -3 @ Nevada

    Nebraska -3 @ Washington

    Navy - 3 @ La Tech

    Thoughts?

    All 3 road team favs which have done terrible so far, not to mention that the public is losing at a higher clip already than previous years. Double digit favs are hammered by the public early and usually hit at around 70% for the first couple weeks. This year they are right at .500, which means the books are cleaning up. I am not saying that you wont win on all 3 of your picks though, just something to think about. BOL
    Comment
    • falconticket
      SBR MVP
      • 09-05-10
      • 3414

      #3
      I would stay away from Navy.
      Comment
      • hubie69
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-16-10
        • 7329

        #4
        I think the Iowa game looks better than those 3 you have listed there but is FAR from a lock. I'm still up in the air about cal though, they always sh*t the money bed sometime early in the season it seems like. In fact all 4 of those games seem like traps
        Comment
        • ACCBlitz
          Restricted User
          • 07-30-10
          • 595

          #5
          Of the 3 you listed, I only played 2 of them: Took Nebraska -4.5 and went the opposite of Cal, taking Nevada +4.5.
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