TodaysLocks **Early Game Leans**

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  • TodaysLocks
    SBR MVP
    • 09-06-10
    • 1450

    #1
    TodaysLocks **Early Game Leans**
    For those who are following, we ae now 16-3 on the college season ATS. We had a few losses last week after starting 13-0. My system has predicted 65% of games correctly in college and NFL since 2004. I have a system that takes into account over 26 variables and spits out a % to me. If the % is at a certain level, and meshes with the line in the system, I play the game. If not, I let it go.

    Towards the end of last season I implemented an "IF" function that actually spits out the word "Trap" if a game seems to favor Vegas. This is been so crucial for my system because there are games my original system would tell me to play, that my updated system will tell me is a "Trap." This has saved me at least 4-5 times this season.

    I have won playing underdogs and favorites this year. I don't discriminate. I play the games my system tells me to play. I won last week all the way from Alabama to Gardner-Webb and Troy. Here is a link to my thread: http://forum.sbrforum.com/college-fo...-30-locks.html
    -----------------------------
    Now just an FYI: I never wager early in the week because in my system this is what is called "sucker lines." Vegas loves to have wagers during this time because you cannot change it after the fact. People get burned a lot with injuries and suspensions, and this is something my system takes into account. I can actually input a player and his contributions, and it will show me how it affects the line if he is not playing. This is useless if you wager too early. Plus Vegas sets the lines early on to entice the most betting. By waiting until the morning of the game, you allow yourself to see the "true" line that Vegas had in their back pocket the whole time.

    I tell people this a lot: If you wanna tail me then tail me. If you wanna fade me, feel free. If you wanna wait and see, I understand. I'm going to lose sometimes. It happens!!! But 6 outta 10 times in the long run I'm going to win! My chase/labby system is a 95% winner since I began using it!! But you can just use my picks to bet independently if you want.

    With all that said, I am very happy because the first two weeks my system only selected 19 total games for me to play. This week there is the potential for much more depending on line movement. The only pre-Saturday game my system selected was Cincy v. NC St. However, I got the "Trap" label so I will be laying off this game. The system says Cincy should be favored. But NC St. has a historical favorable line. This does not add up! Both Friday games were not selected in my system.

    I will post a new thread with the official picks, but without further ado these are the Saturday leans for the EARLY (12pm) games based on today's lines. I'm not including the "Trap" games, just the games my system has given me the OK on.

    Keep in mind, I won't be wagering until the true line reveals itself Saturday. Later game times will be posted as they are run through the system.

    UCONN v. Temple: System LEAN - Temple +6.5 (3rd strongest early play)

    Maryland v. West Virginia: System LEAN - WVU -11 (Tied for strongest early play)

    Northern Illinois v. Illinois: System LEAN - NIU +7.5 (2nd strongest early play)

    Vandy v. Miss: System LEAN - Miss -11.5 (Tied for strongest early play)

    As always, use your own discretion when making picks. Hope you enjoy!
  • Better2Belucky
    SBR High Roller
    • 12-12-09
    • 103

    #2
    I'll be keeping any eye out GL bro
    Comment
    • hitman2010
      SBR MVP
      • 09-03-10
      • 1465

      #3
      I am thinking about tailing you some here bro. BOL.
      Comment
      • TodaysLocks
        SBR MVP
        • 09-06-10
        • 1450

        #4
        Thanks and good luck to all. Hopefully I can gather a following and make TodaysLocks a household name!
        Comment
        • gamecockfan
          SBR High Roller
          • 09-08-10
          • 103

          #5
          Looks like you've got a hell of alot of work put into this. I respect people that do their homework. I'll be following you with great interest. Best of luck this week. Keep up the great posts!
          Comment
          • angelodebo
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 12-04-08
            • 671

            #6
            I'm on the other side of the Temple pick. I'm on UConn.

            But I'm with on the other three. My favorite of the three is West Va. I like Northern Illini. And kinda like Ole Miss
            Comment
            • AdamRB22
              SBR Hustler
              • 09-08-10
              • 60

              #7
              I think I'll just stick to UCONN that's for the lean though
              Comment
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