Fade the Public plays

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  • ackem19
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 10-07-09
    • 669

    #1
    Fade the Public plays
    Checking out some of the line movement and how much of the public is on these teams, you may way to consider these picks as fades.

    Kansas +13.5
    Not only is the public hammering GT, but it seems like everybody on SBR is as well.

    Kent St +17
    The line for this game opened up at BC -19. despite 85% being on BC, the line has come down 2 points as if to further encourage betting on BC. Plus, BC only won by 18 last week against Weber St.

    Marshall +12.5
    Like the Kent St game, despite 90% of the public being on W. Virginia, the line has actually come down half a point. Plus, a home dog, nationally televised, on a friday night, that may all play a factor against WVU.

    According to VegasInsider, these teams all have 10% or less of the public on them:
    Louisiana Tech +19.5
    Toledo +10
    Troy +13.5
    New Mexico St. +14
    New Mexico +24.5
    Memphis +13.5

    GL.
  • terpkeg
    SBR MVP
    • 10-26-09
    • 2364

    #2
    Yea, I got a bad feeling about my GT -13. Think I am going to be buying off of that.
    Comment
    • linedrivr
      SBR MVP
      • 01-04-10
      • 2223

      #3
      GT & OK ST looked way to easy when first looking over the lines last Sunday. I would avoid playing those 2 teams.
      Comment
      • ackem19
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-07-09
        • 669

        #4
        Kansas, Kent St., and Marshall all covered.
        Comment
        • paste_me
          SBR MVP
          • 11-11-09
          • 1832

          #5
          this might be good in the long run, but this strategy can burn you in the short time. public sometimes has a very good run (3-5 weeks), especially in college football
          Comment
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