Week two thoughts
Thanks to Maryland and Boise the week closes the same way as it opened. Week one was fun. Few surprises, and enjoyed a line on Oklahoma State that was so far off it was golden. The previews I like to do are not only fun, but help me hone in on the plays I need to make.
Here are the week 2 early thoughts:
Auburn-Miss St: As I suspected, Miss St. is no pushover. The SEC season preview noted that. Auburn perfomred as expected. A win by either team would not be surprising.
Georgia-S Carolina: In this close, low scoring series at S Car, I'd be happy to take +3 and either team.
Hawaii-Army: Army squeaked by on the road LW but remain a 6-6 team to me. Expect them to play keepaway from Hawaii as service academies typically have trouble defending pass type teams since they seldom practice this with the schemes they run.
Colorado-Cal: Line came low. 4 was posted, but never saw that. 7 is still low.
FSU-Oklahoma: Don't overreact to last week's scores! This is a no play. FSU's run #'s were not impressive last week and Oklahoma's Murray had a better game LW than all of '09.
Mich-ND: The Hilton and GN had the futures, so my +7 was locked in a long time ago. The dog is amazing in this series, and is the only way to look.
Miami-Ohio St: Lean is Miami, but the way Ohio St. plays fundamental FB has to at least cause all of us to give this a 2nd and 3rd look.
BYU-AF: My favorite early play of this week was locked in at +7 a long time ago. The pick-em line was a shock to me. AF has 2 situational +'s I like but the odds are not in alignment with my Power #'s, forcing me to either wait or do something I hate to do, play a college tease.
Oregon-Tennessee: Only thing I want to say here is wow, 122-0 were the scores of games they played last week. Try scheduling someone a bit harder (see Oregon St, UCLA, Wash schedules).
Penn St -Alabama - Took a flyer at -115 -10. Think PSU may be exposed here. Not a huge play.
Stanford-UCLA: I know people disagreed with me, but I expected the K St win last week with Snyder's home record, Thomas and the run, and the turf edge. Now the line is way off. Locked in UCLA +7.5 (opened 8). Still believe they win this, as long as they mix in the run.
Virginia-USC: Not a fan of USC this year, but situation favorable. Bought to -17 early as my line came out -23. Small play.
I have more work to do on these and other games, but wanted to share early. Now it's back to the NFL as I wrap up my season analysis before moving forward on Sunday's.
Good luck all.
Here are the week 2 early thoughts:
Auburn-Miss St: As I suspected, Miss St. is no pushover. The SEC season preview noted that. Auburn perfomred as expected. A win by either team would not be surprising.
Georgia-S Carolina: In this close, low scoring series at S Car, I'd be happy to take +3 and either team.
Hawaii-Army: Army squeaked by on the road LW but remain a 6-6 team to me. Expect them to play keepaway from Hawaii as service academies typically have trouble defending pass type teams since they seldom practice this with the schemes they run.
Colorado-Cal: Line came low. 4 was posted, but never saw that. 7 is still low.
FSU-Oklahoma: Don't overreact to last week's scores! This is a no play. FSU's run #'s were not impressive last week and Oklahoma's Murray had a better game LW than all of '09.
Mich-ND: The Hilton and GN had the futures, so my +7 was locked in a long time ago. The dog is amazing in this series, and is the only way to look.
Miami-Ohio St: Lean is Miami, but the way Ohio St. plays fundamental FB has to at least cause all of us to give this a 2nd and 3rd look.
BYU-AF: My favorite early play of this week was locked in at +7 a long time ago. The pick-em line was a shock to me. AF has 2 situational +'s I like but the odds are not in alignment with my Power #'s, forcing me to either wait or do something I hate to do, play a college tease.
Oregon-Tennessee: Only thing I want to say here is wow, 122-0 were the scores of games they played last week. Try scheduling someone a bit harder (see Oregon St, UCLA, Wash schedules).
Penn St -Alabama - Took a flyer at -115 -10. Think PSU may be exposed here. Not a huge play.
Stanford-UCLA: I know people disagreed with me, but I expected the K St win last week with Snyder's home record, Thomas and the run, and the turf edge. Now the line is way off. Locked in UCLA +7.5 (opened 8). Still believe they win this, as long as they mix in the run.
Virginia-USC: Not a fan of USC this year, but situation favorable. Bought to -17 early as my line came out -23. Small play.
I have more work to do on these and other games, but wanted to share early. Now it's back to the NFL as I wrap up my season analysis before moving forward on Sunday's.
Good luck all.
