Just curious about everyones philosophy regarding parlays, teasers and the teasing of a single game.
For the board: Do you utilize parlays and teasers for NCAA FB?
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ACCBlitzRestricted User
- 07-30-10
- 595
#1For the board: Do you utilize parlays and teasers for NCAA FB?10All the time0%5Sometimes0%3Never0%2Tags: None -
teaserpleaserBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-14-08
- 26015
#2yes yes noComment -
BigdaddyQHSBR Posting Legend
- 07-13-09
- 19530
#4They are sucker plays. If they were not, the books would not offer them. Just do the math. Take a simple two team parlay. 4 things can happen and three are bad. You can go W-W, W-L, L-W, L-L. That makes the legitimate odds 3-1 or 15-5 against you, but the books only pay out 13-5. That is a 13.3% edge for the book, which is more than the standard 10% vig. The more teams you play, the worse it gets. Teasers are worse than parlays.Comment -
The DiBSBR Wise Guy
- 11-22-09
- 510
#5Not a fan of them in college ball, will play a few during the NFL seasonComment -
siabdo23SBR Sharp
- 12-02-09
- 300
#6sometimes superteasers are the best way to bet if you wanna cashoutComment -
ACCBlitzRestricted User
- 07-30-10
- 595
#7Great responses, especially teaserpleaser and bigdaddy.
Guess I just don't understand why people don't jump on them in weeks 1 and 2 in college ball.
We all know the basic rule that football games typically end in intervals of certain numbers (how often do you see a team win by say 5 or 16 points)
Take Florida (-35), Nebraska (-35), Oklahoma (-31.5), and Ohio State (-28.5) in week 1 this year. God knows they will all win big. Why not make it easier and tease down a few points to a certain point (ie. a -35 point spread -> -30.5). Sure the payout isn't as much but it becomes a much easier line to cover. Look at the Gators. Bringing it down to -30.5 only drops the line to -200. That's still $50 for $100 wager.
Through the years I've been amazed to see exactly how accurate these lines really are, and a small advantage is still an advantage.
sidenote - I'm in no way indicating to put big money on teasers and parlays by the waybut if done correctly, there is legitimate money there.
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ackem19SBR Wise Guy
- 10-07-09
- 669
#8While I don't believe in parlays for other sports, I do think that a 3 team parlay in college football could be very profitable. Last season I picked 10 teams every week and then divided that up into 3 3 team parlays and omitted one team. I did this for the last 4 weeks of the season and I hit at least one every week. Now the payout for a 3 team parlay is 6 to 1 do let's say you bet 3 $20 3 team parlays and 1 hits, you profit $80. This season, I'm moving up to betting one $100 3 team parlay every week and as long as I win 1 every 6 weeks, that the very minimum I will break even.Comment -
ACCBlitzRestricted User
- 07-30-10
- 595
#9ackem - that's exactly what I'm talking about doing.
Usually, my main strategy is finding those handful of games every year where a team will cover the given spread, and I'll collect my wager on a -110 line.
But if you're book allows you to parlay and then tease all teams lines individually to what you feel comfortable with (I use 5 Dimes and they do) - you really set up a great parlay.
Florida -30.5, Nebraska -30.5, and Wisconsin -16.5 = $100 -> $240 payout.
Who here really doesn't see those teams winning by those spreads? I mean come on. Vegas is good at making accurate lines. Why not combine a few games, take some points off and walk away with some
The 2010 season will be the first time I'll be trying this from a serious standpoint.Normally it's just for fun but cheers to all and GL to those who give it a go
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Grits n' GravyRestricted User
- 06-10-10
- 13024
#10college teasers are a bad investment. track all of them you do play and see how many of them where the extra points actually saved you from losing.Comment -
ACCBlitzRestricted User
- 07-30-10
- 595
#11Agree 100% GnG. Teasers yes. But I'm talking a straight parlay where you can adjust the individual lines within that parlay. It's a major advantage and doesn't drop the lines much.Comment -
jillmarkSBR MVP
- 08-09-08
- 3665
#12I generally do straight bets. But I like teasers over parlays. Teasers look much easier than they actually are though.Comment -
Grits n' GravyRestricted User
- 06-10-10
- 13024
#13ok. i see. i tracked a friend's cfb teasers last year and the ones he won all would have cashed without the extra points. the losers far outnumbered the winners. as for the adjusted parlays....never played them. hope you do well with them.Comment -
ACCBlitzRestricted User
- 07-30-10
- 595
#14Thanks. It'll be an adventure to say the least. Hopefully a very profitable oneComment -
nflwinsSBR High Roller
- 08-16-10
- 186
#15The average acore in college is by 19 points....i did every game from 1960 over 30,000 games and each year it was about 19 points the average score thats why teasers are no good in college.Comment -
ACCBlitzRestricted User
- 07-30-10
- 595
#16Teasers as a whole are bad. But you can't say altering individual lines in a parlay is a bad idea.
The Clemson games is a great example. They're -23. Logic says they'll cover BUT if you've followed them over the years, they slack @$$ in the 3rd/4th quarters of games (for the most part) against smaller opponents early in the season. A 24-28 point lead will likely end up being a 17-21 point victory. Bringing that line down to -16.5 is the smartest play you could make to make it a GUARANTEE. Then when you add in other games on the parlay (lines altered or not), the payout is still great considering it's less risky than betting on a team to straight up cover a line set by the pros in Vegas.Comment -
reverendSBR Wise Guy
- 06-01-09
- 880
#17I used to be 100% against these types of plays for college football, but last season, I started following a guy who specializes in moneyline parlays. I am not big on using a services of paying for picks, but I made very, very good money on his stuff! I am scaling back my individual plays this year and going to focus more on his plays.
Just PM me if you want more info...it's kinda a low key thing...I got on board through a friendComment
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