Furt's Week 9 Picks

**Furt** · 10-26-07, 01:19 PM

Adding two picks:

New Mexico St @ Hawaii under 80

and

Texas-El Paso +6 vs. Houston

**hairydawg75** · 10-26-07, 02:42 PM

Any particular reason for SC +3? I'm right there with you on the A&M pick.

**BuddyBear** · 10-26-07, 03:26 PM

with you on TXAM. I would say for the NMSU/Hawaii Under 80 you may, believe it or not, get a better number. That's the last game on the board and that line should be driven up. That is about as high a total as I've ever seen.

Hell, I've seen Ivy league basketball games with totals just slightly higher. Should be a fun game to watch....plan on staying up later b/c neither team runs the ball.

**Furt** · 10-26-07, 03:30 PM

Its a classic matchup of an offense team in Tenn vs a Defensive team in SC... I think SCs defense will prevail.

Defense Defense Defense... Tennessee gives up 33 a game while SC gives up 15 while they both avg around 30. South Carolina is 9-1 ATS on the road in their last 10. They play well on the road (winning at Georgia and playing LSU tough). I will say SC's defense against the run is shaky but that make up for that in their secondary(best pass defense in the nation). Add to that that Tennessee's receiving core is banged up(2 of their top 3 are questionable)

Also, The Vols give up 250 yards through the air... it will be up to Smelley to take advantage of that but with Spurrier at the helm I think they can. The Vols big problem is a lack of pressure on the QB, getting just 1.2 sacks a game.

Tennessee's pass protection is second to none but if the Gamecocks can get even a little pressure on Ainge, make him hurry a bit, I think Ainge will struggle against the tight SC secondary.

I realize, the pick is a little bit out there on a limb, considering its a night game at home for the Vols. But I think you'll see SC pull it out

**pats3peat** · 10-26-07, 03:32 PM

GL Furt.

**fraser37** · 10-26-07, 03:39 PM

can anyone give me their analysis on texas a&m covering this game? I'm not saying i love kansas but no number i look at points to a&ms direction.

Everyone believes that kansas is overrated because of the level of competition they have faced. They have beat these teams by a margin of 35 points.

A&M is a rushing team, Kansas stops the run. (Col good running team 33 carries 66 yards)
At Colorado not an easy game.
Momentum is on Kansas side.

Where is the value in taking a team that is 7-0 SU and 6-0 ATS? If anything stay away.

**pags11** · 10-26-07, 03:45 PM

GL to you this week furt...

**hairydawg75** · 10-26-07, 03:48 PM

Originally posted by Furt

Its a classic matchup of an offense team in Tenn vs a Defensive team in SC... I think SCs defense will prevail.

Defense Defense Defense... Tennessee gives up 33 a game while SC gives up 15 while they both avg around 30. South Carolina is 9-1 ATS on the road in their last 10. They play well on the road (winning at Georgia and playing LSU tough). I will say SC's defense against the run is shaky but that make up for that in their secondary(best pass defense in the nation). Add to that that Tennessee's receiving core is banged up(2 of their top 3 are questionable)

Also, The Vols give up 250 yards through the air... it will be up to Smelley to take advantage of that but with Spurrier at the helm I think they can. The Vols big problem is a lack of pressure on the QB, getting just 1.2 sacks a game.

Tennessee's pass protection is second to none but if the Gamecocks can get even a little pressure on Ainge, make him hurry a bit, I think Ainge will struggle against the tight SC secondary.

I realize, the pick is a little bit out there on a limb, considering its a night game at home for the Vols. But I think you'll see SC pull it out

All very good points. Having seen firsthand Tenn destroy my dawgs, if they get on a roll early it could mean lights out for SC as they aren't a team that scores in bunches. However if it becomes a defensive struggle I can see SC coming out with a victory. Their musical chairs at the quarterback position is also something to consider. Should be a good game. Good luck on your picks!

**Hemlock21** · 10-26-07, 07:11 PM

I was thinking about adding that WV -6 and the over in that game.

**Furt** · 10-28-07, 06:13 PM

that was an interesting SC game, huh? a 'tale of two halves' if I've ever seen one...

finished 5-4-1 for the week... luckily I laid the most wood on my Buckeyes...