Bmac's plays week 5

**justdoingit** · 09-26-07, 01:03 PM

Really liking the baylor game do you think they can stop the Run and do you think they can hold them at college station?

**bmac** · 09-26-07, 03:06 PM

Ya after watching A&M not able to move the ball agaisnt Miami I think Baylor has a great chance of stopping the run. Baylor is a sleeper here in my opinion. Not many people are giving them a chance in this game.

bol to you

**mv09** · 09-26-07, 03:42 PM

Im an Aggie, so let me tell you that the Baylor/A&M game is a definate no play for me.

A&M is so much more physical and talented than Baylor. Their running game is great and based on that alone, should have no trouble covering (A&M has beat Baylor I think 19 out of the last 20 years).

However, Coach Fran is taking this program to the garbage. The defense is extremely shaky and his playcalling is a joke. He is clueless when he gets in his run/run/run/run modes.

If A&M mixes it up with pass/run, A&M covers. If A&M decides to call a game like they did vs Miami (which is possible), Id take Baylor.

Rumor has it that A&M will be running a dual-QB system ala Tebow/Leak and Flynn/Perrilloux this past weekend. If thats the case, Id lean towards A&M because McGee does not throw it downfield.

Based on Coaching, Id say this is a no call because no one knows what Coach Fran will do. If he opens up the playcalling, A&M covers. If he decides to play it safe like he has all season, Baylor covers.

The game is here at College Station at 11:30. Its going to be another Humid 95 degree game. I can definetly see Coach Fran running running running so tire out their defense. We'll have to wait and see.

**bmac** · 09-26-07, 03:45 PM

Ya i agree that A&M needs to mix it up. The past 20 years don't really convince me about this game. Baylor may not have a chance to win, but I like their chances to keep it close.

**mv09** · 09-26-07, 03:50 PM

Originally posted by bmac

Ya i agree that A&M needs to mix it up. The past 20 years don't really convince me about this game. Baylor may not have a chance to win, but I like their chances to keep it close.

Ill be honest, If I had to pick.. id take Baylor. It definetly looks good based on that Miami game, but I would stay away because Baylor really isnt any good, believe me, they are the laughing stock of the Big 12.

You want easy money?

Ive heard of future lines that has:

Nebraska -7 Against A&M
Tech -5 Against A&M

at sportsbook.com

Both teams will beat us by at least 14 points, no question in my mind. The Tech Game is such a lock, its like taking money from a child.

A&M can not stop the pass. They switched over to 4-2-5 to try and stop their passing game and its failing miserably. Tech will put up 450-550 yards passing and could beat us by 30 points.

GL

**bmac** · 09-26-07, 04:54 PM

Thanks for the tip...
will keep this in mind

**bmac** · 09-27-07, 12:33 PM

ADDING:
Maryland +17
Maryland ML (.5 Unit)

**VolinArizona** · 09-27-07, 01:12 PM

Almost all of these are no plays for me.

One of my handicapping tools says Baylor should be favored, but when that line is 18 points different than the line in Vegas, something is wrong with my handicapping tool.

I have Rutgers as a +20 point favorite, mostly because Maryland's run defense stats are awful. However, are they awful because they played WVU? Possibly.

I think the WVU/USF line is right on.

Colorado State is a statistically better football team than TCU, but CSU turns the ball over a lot.

Love the Oregon play at that number.

**bmac** · 09-28-07, 12:50 PM

Thanks for your input Vol.
Colorado state is without their star Kory Sperry and without one of their best tacklers Kubiak due to ulcers.

**bmac** · 10-01-07, 11:00 AM

TCU -10 Sat@7:00p
Competitor: (155) Colorado State WIN

(130) Oregon -5½ Sat@3:30p
Competitor: (129) California LOSS

(165) Baylor +17 Sat@12:30p
Competitor: (166) Texas A&M LOSS

(103) West Virginia -7 (-115) Fri@8:00p
Competitor: (104) South Florida LOSS

Probably a few other small plays to come....

thoughts/opinions welcome!

**bmac** · 10-01-07, 11:01 AM

B]ADDING:[/B]
Maryland +17 WIN
Maryland ML (.5 Unit) WIN

**bmac** · 10-01-07, 11:11 AM

Kind of a crappy weekend but o well. 3-3..... can't really complain.