An examination of Pinny Line-moves for BCS Championship Game

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  • Pensinger1
    Restricted User
    • 12-23-08
    • 505

    #1
    An examination of Pinny Line-moves for BCS Championship Game
    POINTSPREADS
    12/09 10:26 +5 -107 / -5 -103
    12/10 12:11 +5 -108 / -5 -102
    12/13 12:21 +5 -109 / -5 -101
    12/13 20:31 +5 -107 / -5 -103
    12/14 14:21 +5 -109 / -5 -101
    12/17 18:59 +5 -114 / -5 +103
    12/18 20:35 +5 -123 / -5 +111
    12/19 10:12 +5 -120 / -5 +109
    12/21 10:45 +4 -104 / -4 -106
    12/21 14:10 +4 -109 / -4 -101
    12/21 14:15 +4 -107 / -4 -103
    12/21 22:04 +4 -108 / -4 -102
    12/28 18:51 +4 -114 / -4 +103
    01/01 21:34 +4 -110 / -4 +100
    01/03 17:14 +4 -115 / -4 +104
    01/04 10:35 +3½ -108 / -3½ -102
    01/04 15:35 +3½ -104 / -3½ -106
    01/04 15:45 +3½ -101 / -3½ -109
    01/04 20:35 +3½ -105 / -3½ -105
    01/05 10:20 +3½ -101 / -3½ -109
    01/06 09:55 +3½ +100 / -3½ -110
    01/06 18:06 +4 -105 / -4 -105
    01/06 21:07 +4 -104 / -4 -106
    01/06 22:46 +4 -101 / -4 -109
    01/06 22:51 +4½ -105 / -4½ -105
    01/06 23:21 +4½ -109 / -4½ -101
    01/06 23:26 +4 +100 / -4 -110
    01/07 01:46 +4 -101 / -4 -109
    01/07 11:47 +4 -102 / -4 -108
    01/07 12:06 +4 -101 / -4 -109
    01/07 12:56 +4 -102 / -4 -108
    01/07 14:01 +4 -104 / -4 -106
    01/07 15:26 +4 -106 / -4 -104
    01/07 15:31 +4 -108 / -4 -102
    01/07 15:54 +4 -109 / -4 -101
    01/07 15:59 +4 -105 / -4 -105
    01/07 16:04 +4 -104 / -4 -106
    01/07 16:49 +4 -105 / -4 -105
    01/07 17:09 +4 -106 / -4 -104
    01/07 17:24 +4 -107 / -4 -103
    01/07 17:29 +4 -108 / -4 -102

    MONEYLINES
    12/09 10:26 +188 / -210
    12/10 11:56 +185 / -206
    12/10 12:01 +181 / -202
    12/11 18:11 +178 / -198
    12/18 20:55 +173 / -192
    12/21 10:45 +166 / -185
    12/21 14:15 +165 / -183
    12/28 18:51 +157 / -174
    01/04 10:35 +155 / -172
    01/04 15:35 +157 / -174
    01/05 10:20 +160 / -178
    01/05 10:50 +158 / -175
    01/06 09:55 +160 / -178
    01/06 18:06 +162 / -180
    01/06 22:51 +171 / -190
    01/06 23:21 +167 / -186
    01/06 23:26 +166 / -184
    01/07 12:56 +162 / -180
    01/07 15:54 +158 / -175
    01/07 16:09 +160 / -178
    01/07 17:09 +158 / -175
    01/07 17:24 +153 / -170

    PINNY originally posted the ML for the BCS Championship game of ALA -210 / TEX +188 on 12/09 at 10:26am. At that time, the spread was ALA -5 -103 / TEX +5 -107. Hours before kickoff, the spread is now ALA -4 -102 / TEX +4 -108 with a ML ofALA -170 / TEX +153.

    The spread has moved ~ 1 point in that time span. However, the TEX ML has lost .35 cents in value and the ALA ML has gained .40 cents in value. A one point swing in the spread (unless crossing the 3/7 values) should indicate a .20 cent change in the ML, not .35-.40 cents. A one-point swing in the spread coupled with a much larger swing than expected in the ML suggests heavy TEX ML action.

    EDIT: Pinny now has TEX at +3.5. Anyone wanna guess which side the sharps are taking in this game?
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