"This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
Goat Milk
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#2
Unload on this game my friend.
I am. At least 1,100 on this game.
McCoy isnt a damn thing against stout D's.
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HoldEmHook!!
SBR MVP
10-08-09
2962
#3
Ralphie and Houli, I hope all of these self proclaimed experts bet on Tex. to keep that line as low as possible...... Bama Wins Big
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Ralphie1412
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
13963
#4
I said to my buddy last night I hope the line is under a touchdown. I thought it would be 6. 5 is just delicious. I dont care if the public is on it, reverse line movement, trends, nothing. Bama is going to skull**** the longhorns.
"This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
Goat Milk
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Fed_42420
SBR Wise Guy
11-12-09
976
#5
Its -3.5 at Sportsbetting.com, No joke I just bet there ! Couldn't believe it!!! Just givin the heads up!
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Ralphie1412
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
13963
#6
sportsbetting dot com is the worst book online. If u bet a lot of money on bama at sportsbetting i wouldnt expect to get it anytime soon.
"This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
Goat Milk
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PAPSMEAR
SBR MVP
02-13-09
2581
#7
Every once and a while a bet comes along where you need to roll up the sleeves and unload...this is it. Will be wagering half my bank on this ($3250). I had this pegged at -10 minimum. -5 is a gift. Not sure why. Usually I'm wary of what appear to be wayward lines, but I've seen enough this season to commit to this cause in a BIG way.
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bearmz
SBR Sharp
10-17-07
320
#8
B12 Champs just 2-6 SU L8 bowl games.
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mmike032
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-08
8905
#9
line opened at -2.5 at 5Dimes, now its at -5...
been waiting for one of my books to release it but looks like they're gonna wait till it gets to -7.
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mmike032
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-08
8905
#10
Originally posted by bearmz
B12 Champs just 2-6 SU L8 bowl games.
Texas is 3-0 in BCS games, not that means a damn thing to me but ,
just saying...
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Serbone
SBR MVP
09-21-09
1300
#11
Originally posted by Ralphie1412
I said to my buddy last night I hope the line is under a touchdown. I thought it would be 6. 5 is just delicious. I dont care if the public is on it, reverse line movement, trends, nothing. Bama is going to skull**** the longhorns.
I thought it would be 7, even 8 or 9... I am shocked but happy. Still might go to 6 by gametime, TBD.
Texas has weak running game, and it's OL was exposed vs. Nebraska. Give Alabama a month to work on their defensive gameplan and McCoy should be a sitting duck!
IMO Ala defense is even better than Nebraska's, and Alabama's offense is definitely 1,000% better than Nebraska's!
Artificial turf helped Nebraska's speed rushing, regular turf will slow down Alabama a bit.
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bearmz
SBR Sharp
10-17-07
320
#12
Originally posted by mmike032
Texas is 3-0 in BCS games, not that means a damn thing to me but ,
just saying...
Good point.
Here's the breakdown of B12 champs bowl results since the current BCS system is being utilized. Team followed by line and (#) is final BCS ranking:
2000 Orange bowl Okl+11 (1) W 13-2 FSU (2)
2001 Fiesta Col-3 (3) L 38-16 Ore (4)
2002 Rose Okl-5' (7) W 34-14 WSt (6)
2003 Fiesta KSt-7 (10) L 35-28 Ohio St (5)
2004 Rose Okl+1 (2) L 55-19 USC (1)
2005 Rose TX+7 (2) W 41-38 USC (1)
2006 Fiesta Okl-7 (10) L 43-42 OT Boise (8)
2007 Fiesta Okl-8 (4) L 48-28 WV (9)
2008 Fed Ex BCS Okl+4' (1) L 24-14 FU (2)
2009 BCS Tx+5' (2) vs Ala (1)
The main culprit is easily Okl losing their L3 bowls as B12 champs. B12 2-3 SU as lower ranked but Tx won as 2 vs 1.
I do prefer HC trends over any other as it's usually his team, staff, and playbook. Brown is 8-3 in bowls at Texas with 3 BCS bowl Ws.
Saban is 8-2 vs AP Top 25 '08-'09, 5-0 in '09. In bowls, was 0-3 at Mich St, 3-2 at LSU ( 1 Nat'l Championship), and is 1-1 at Ala losing LY to Utah 31-17.
HC trends favors Texas.
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LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#13
I don't get it either. I made Alabama -7.5
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Ralphie1412
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
13963
#14
agreed LT, I will be all over this.....bama first half -3 is a good one too.
"This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
Goat Milk
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mmike032
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-08
8905
#15
none of my books are putting a line out I would have unloaded on Bama -2.5/-3 at 5Dimes yesterday
Greek told me they didnt know when the lines would be put out.
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Cougar Bait
SBR Posting Legend
10-04-07
18282
#16
I got it at -4.5 with my local. I put quite a bit on it. I knew the line would start moving...I see it's now at 6 at most of the online books.
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wookieehumper
SBR Sharp
11-09-09
355
#17
It's going to be a low scoring game. Ill take Texas and the points.
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Ralphie1412
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-08
13963
#18
Wookiee just light 100 dollar bill on fire.
"This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
Goat Milk
Comment
Jasonal_98
SBR MVP
06-16-09
1443
#19
I think it's going to be a typical Big 12-SEC National Title Game. Texas is going to have trouble scoring points on Bama's D, and I don't think the same will be true for Bama against Texas' D. This could be a game where a play an alternate line. Bama by double digits, unless something strange happens between now and gametime.
By the way, check my blog from Nov. 29. Missed the SEC title game score by 1 pt.