Had a disappointing week last week (1-2, but still hitting over 67% on the year). Look to rebound with the following....
BOWLING GREEN/TOLEDO - UNDER 64-
Two moderately high-flying teams here. The Falcons are favored by over a TD, and why not?....Toledo is giving up over 36 ppg. The problem in this one is the weather forecast....cold and rainy. Bowling Green has no run game. They get it done through the air. That's gonna be tough in sloppy conditions. Too many points.
TCU/NEW MEXICO - OVER 55
The Horned Frogs are favored by 44- points. That roughly means that the oddsmakers see a final score in the range of 50-5. TCU is on a BCS-fueled mission. They are not gonna take any chances. They will win this game (but you already knew that) and cover. That means that they'll score at least 45 on their own. Factor in that the Lobos actually have a little strut in their step after last week's Colorado State victory. They may even score a TD or more in this one. OVER.
WASHINGTON/WASHINGTON STATE - UNDER 58
Another game where there's rain in the forecast. The Huskies want some payback here after the Cougars upset them last year in this Apple Cup Rivalry. They'll probably get it, but this is too many points. Washington averages only 24 ppg and State 13 ppg. Where are all the other points gonna come from? UNDER
SAN JOSE STATE/NEW MEXICO STATE - OVER 41
Pretty low total here. It's the Spartans last home game. Why not open it up a bit for their beleagured fan base (if there is one)? Nevada put up 63 on these Aggies last week. That's not too surprising, but it is surprising that New Mexico State answered with 20 of their own. Hold your nose and bet the OVER.
FLORIDA/FLORIDA STATE - OVER 56
Gonna take it as a buy signal that the Gators lit up the scoreboard last week with 62 points. Sure, it was only against Florida International....but the reality is that this Seminoles defense ain't much better. They're allowing 5.1 ypc and they own the country's 99th ranked pass defense. Do the math and it's easy to see why they're allowing over 30 ppg. Enter the Gators.....looking to peak at the right time of year....and it's a rivalry game. Florida's defense is stout, but the Seminoles should be able to put up a few of their own....they've been averaging 31.6 ppg. It all adds up to a shootout.
As always, best of luck and happy Thanksgiving.
Harry
2009 college football totals (35-17)
2009 college football sides (42-34)
BOWLING GREEN/TOLEDO - UNDER 64-
Two moderately high-flying teams here. The Falcons are favored by over a TD, and why not?....Toledo is giving up over 36 ppg. The problem in this one is the weather forecast....cold and rainy. Bowling Green has no run game. They get it done through the air. That's gonna be tough in sloppy conditions. Too many points.
TCU/NEW MEXICO - OVER 55
The Horned Frogs are favored by 44- points. That roughly means that the oddsmakers see a final score in the range of 50-5. TCU is on a BCS-fueled mission. They are not gonna take any chances. They will win this game (but you already knew that) and cover. That means that they'll score at least 45 on their own. Factor in that the Lobos actually have a little strut in their step after last week's Colorado State victory. They may even score a TD or more in this one. OVER.
WASHINGTON/WASHINGTON STATE - UNDER 58
Another game where there's rain in the forecast. The Huskies want some payback here after the Cougars upset them last year in this Apple Cup Rivalry. They'll probably get it, but this is too many points. Washington averages only 24 ppg and State 13 ppg. Where are all the other points gonna come from? UNDER
SAN JOSE STATE/NEW MEXICO STATE - OVER 41
Pretty low total here. It's the Spartans last home game. Why not open it up a bit for their beleagured fan base (if there is one)? Nevada put up 63 on these Aggies last week. That's not too surprising, but it is surprising that New Mexico State answered with 20 of their own. Hold your nose and bet the OVER.
FLORIDA/FLORIDA STATE - OVER 56
Gonna take it as a buy signal that the Gators lit up the scoreboard last week with 62 points. Sure, it was only against Florida International....but the reality is that this Seminoles defense ain't much better. They're allowing 5.1 ypc and they own the country's 99th ranked pass defense. Do the math and it's easy to see why they're allowing over 30 ppg. Enter the Gators.....looking to peak at the right time of year....and it's a rivalry game. Florida's defense is stout, but the Seminoles should be able to put up a few of their own....they've been averaging 31.6 ppg. It all adds up to a shootout.
As always, best of luck and happy Thanksgiving.
Harry
2009 college football totals (35-17)
2009 college football sides (42-34)
