SBR’s Justin7 and Peter Loshak start out by looking at the 3 Top 25 games this week involving favorites of 30 points or more, after Justin went 1-2 last week taking 3 30+ point dogs. Again, the situation is looking possibly favorable for all 3 favorites, and the lines in each of those games has moved at least 2 points in favor of the favorite since opening.
Vanderbilt would be greatly outclassed by No. 1 Florida even when at full strength, but they will go into this game with numerous injuries to important starters. Central Florida goes on the road to face No. 2 Texas on a short week, possibly drained and in a “letdown” spot after their national TV 1-point win over Marshall. And awful Washington St. faces No. 21 Arizona off of a bye week and looking to kick off a strong stretch run in the Pac-10. One of these games is Justin’s strongest play of the week.
No. 3 Alabama is a 7.5-point home favorite over No. 9 LSU, and Justin has a lean towards Alabama which enhances a favorable betting opportunity he sees in this spot. Loshak has gotten reports that No. 11 Penn St. is attracting both sharp and public action as a 3.5-point home favorite over No. 15 Ohio St., but Justin passes as he sees this line as right on.
Navy presents an intriguing matchup with No. 19 Notre Dame as an 11-point road dog. The Fighting Irish get star WR Michael Floyd back from injury for this game, which could turn their already impressive passing attack into an unstoppable one. But the Midshipmen have been an impressively scrappy team as well as a good bet this year, having gone 6-3 ATS and hung tough with some good opponents.